Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 222210
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
510 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 00Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in a very dry ams. Sfc
flow will over Monday as a cold front eases into the area.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 138 PM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper trough pushing through the central plains as it moves east
high pressure will start to build in from the west.  This will put
the region into NW flow aloft.  Another trough will reinforce the
first one over the Eastern US leaving the region stuck into between
the ridge to the west and trough to the east most of the week.
Toward next weekend a trough moving down across the Rockies will act
to push the ridge off into the Pacific.

Temperatures will be on a roller coaster of up and down as multiple
fronts move through.  The first in a series of cold fronts came
through last night resulting in a chilly morning with sunny... cool
and dry conditions today.  The next cold fronts will be Monday night
and Thursday night.  This will result in temperatures getting
knocked down frequently then warming up between them as the south
wind returns.  Could see a high wind event at GDP late Monday night
so will go ahead and issue a watch.  Radiational cooling should
allow temps at MRF to fall into the 30s next few nights with 30s
becoming more widespread across northern CWA Saturday morning in
post frontal conditions.

No rain expected most of the week... models throw some showers in
toward next weekend so will leave them in for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     47  81  49  69 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       44  83  45  67 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         53  85  54  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  51  84  50  70 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 50  77  46  59 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          44  78  43  65 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          38  79  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           47  82  49  69 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         47  81  49  69 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           45  84  49  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Watch late Monday night for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

44/12/44



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