Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 040540
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1140 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 805 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

SHORTWAVE TO BRING INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS WAVE...SOME LOCATIONS QUICKLY DROPPING
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BEFORE THE CLOUDS AND WESTERLY WINDS MIX
IN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

THE GROUNDHOG DAY STORM IS OVER...AND THANKFULLY IT DIDN`T REPEAT
ITSELF. A STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL MAP AND TABULAR LIST WAS POSTED TO
OUR WEBPAGE AND SOCIAL MEDIA FOR REFERENCE. AS EXPECTED...THERE
WAS A VERY TIGHT GRADIENT ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE SYSTEM...AND
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE NORTHERN END. PEAK AMOUNT WAS
18 INCHES AT PIERCE, NE...AND THE LOWEST AMOUNT WAS 0.1 AT
SHUBERT, NE. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WERE OFFICIALLY MET IN MANY
LOCATIONS IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

LOOKING FORWARD...QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME WESTERLY...WHICH IS USUALLY A WARMING WIND
FOR US...BUT NOT SO MUCH WHEN THAT WIND IS MOVING OVER A 1 TO 2
FOOT SNOW PACK. THUS WILL HAVE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IN THE
TEENS...AND HIGHS TOMORROW AROUND 30 OVER THE SNOW...BUT NEAR 40
IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA WHERE NO LITTLE OR NO SNOW EXISTS.

THE NEXT TROUGH JUST NOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND BRING A NEW FRONT TO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY.
WILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE OF SNOW WITH THAT FEATURE...AND MOSTLY
ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST IOWA WITH LITTLE IF ANY
THREAT SOUTH OF OF I80 OTHER THAN FLURRIES.

WILL HAVE DRY WEATHER AGAIN FOR FRIDAY WITH A WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPING WITH RIDGING ALOFT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

THE NEXT CLIPPER MOVES OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN
ROCKIES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY THEN SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY REGION. THE GFS IS STRONGER AND A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH
THAN THE ECMWF...BUT WILL AGAIN HAVE A SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW
MOVING THROUGH THE REGION...OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX IN SOUTHEAST NE AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA. SHOULD BE MOSTLY OVER BY DAYBREAK MONDAY...AND
AGAIN AMOUNTS WOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. COULD BE A FEW LINGERING
FLURRIES ACROSS WESTERN IOWA EARLY MONDAY. THIS DEFINITELY BRINGS
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO THE REGION FOR MONDAY...AND EVEN COLDER
TUESDAY...AND SLIGHT RECOVERY FOR WEDNESDAY...BUT STILL BELOW
NORMAL.

IN OTHER NEWS....SPRING BEGINS IN 45 DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SOME VFR CIGS WITH MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...THEN THE SUNSHINE RETURNS.
THE RAP/NAM HINT AT SOME MVFR CONDITIONS WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST...GENERALLY 10KTS OR LESS WITH THESE
FRONTAL PASSAGES.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...ZAPOTOCNY
SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY


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