Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FXUS63 KBIS 290829
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
329 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

MAIN FOCUS FOR THE SHORT TERM IS EARLY MORNING RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS.

EARLY THIS MORNING A COLD FRONT CONTINUED TO PROPAGATE ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE COLD FRONT IS PROVIDING AMPLE LIFT TO
SUPPORT AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE
FRONT AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
BE OUT OF THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. EVEN THOUGH SOME BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY...ONLY MINOR LIQUID ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED (AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH) AS THEIR RESIDENCE TIMES WILL
BE MINIMAL DUE TO THEIR QUICK MOVEMENT.

IMPRESSIVE PRESSURE RISES ARE FOLLOWING THE FRONT. A 7MB/3HR
PRESSURE RISE WAS OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. THESE
RISES WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
MORNING AND BE RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. AT
THIS TIME SEVERAL SITES ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WERE REPORTING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. AS WINDS MAINTAIN A WEST NORTHWEST
COMPONENT...DOWNSLOPING MOMENTUM WILL FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS.
CURRENT WIND HEADLINES APPEAR IN GOOD SHAPE WITH WINDS INCREASING
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND QUICKLY DECREASING LATER THIS
MORNING.

THIS AFTERNOON...SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT AND TEMPERATURES CLIMB
INTO THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THE EXTENDED PERIOD REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH BROAD ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT MONDAY AND TUESDAY THAT WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE FIRST COULD OF DAYS. THIS IS
FOLLOWED BY GENERAL TROUGHINESS WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BRINGING
INTERMITTENT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HIGHS WILL BE QUIT MILD MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S MONDAY AND 60S TO THE UPPER 70S ON TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY BRINGING GUSTY WINDS WITH THE CHANGE OF AIRMASS.
POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AGAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. EVEN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING COULD BE BREEZY WITH GFS
FORECAST 6HR PRESSURE RISES OF 13 MB MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE NIGHT
WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 KTS EXPECTED.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NDZ002-003-010-
011-019>021-034.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING FOR
NDZ031>033-040>045.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NDZ001-009-017-018.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NDZ004-005-012-
013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...AJ








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