Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

266
FXUS63 KBIS 190520
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1220 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

SLIGHT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE CLOUD COVER IN SOUTH CENTRAL AREAS
OF THE STATE...OTHERWISE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1001 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

FORECAST ON TRACK...PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT FOR THE MID EVENING
UPDATE ISSUANCE.

UPDATE
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

VERY MINOR CHANGES TO THE INHERITED FORECAST FOR THE EARLY EVENING
PRODUCT ISSUANCE.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT WILL
RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND COLD
TEMPERATURES GIVEN THE ABOVE AND DEW POINT TEMPERATURES IN THE
TEENS AND 20S. FREEZE HEADLINES GOOD TO GO...WITH PERHAPS A FEW
RECORD LOWS TONIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

WRAPPED UP STORM EXITING THE REGION. FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...AND POSSIBILITY OF FOG WHERE
CLEARING SKIES AND WHERE HEAVY RAINS/RECENT SNOW MAY BE FAVORABLE
FOR ITS FORMATION.

DEWPOINTS MONDAY AFTERNOON ARE IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S WEST
AND THE 20S AND LOWER 30S CENTRAL. SKIES WILL CLEAR THIS EVENING
AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH. TEMPS SHOULD THEN FALL INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 20S MOST AREAS...WITH SOME LOWER 20S NORTH CENTRAL WHERE
SOME RESIDUAL SNOW COVER REMAINS. BISMARCK AND JAMESTOWN MAY SEE
A RECORD LOW IN THE MIDDLE 20S TONIGHT. ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE
RIVER VALLEYS.

ON TUESDAY...UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE STATE. MOST OF THE
REGION WILL BE SUNNY WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS FAR SOUTHWEST.
HIGHS WILL BE COOL BOT NOT AS COOL AS TODAY. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE
50S TO CLOSE TO 60 WEST.

RECORD LOWS FOR TUESDAY MAY 19TH.

CITY........CURRENT RECORD....FORECAST LOW.
BISMARCK......27 IN 2002..........26
JAMESTOWN.....26 IN 2002..........26
MINOT.........20 IN 1927..........23
DICKINSON.....21 IN 1907..........25
WILLISTON.....20 IN 1907..........27

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

THE REST OF WEEK LOOKS QUIET AND COOL.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
THIS WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR...NIGHTS COOL AND STORMS SOUTH
OF THE AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES
SHOULD FALL ONCE AGAIN TO RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. WIDESPREAD FROST
IS POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THIS
WEEK...REACHING THE 60S WEDNESDAY AND REMAINING THERE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM LOOKS TO ENTER THE PLAINS LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME THE MODELS KEEP THE MAJORITY OF
PRECIPITATION SOUTH...WITH JUST FAR SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA GETTING
A GLANCING BLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE ARE CHANCES
FOR FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT ALONG THE MISSOURI AND JAMES RIVER
VALLEYS...WITH KBIS/KISN/KJMS POSSIBLY IMPACTED.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR NDZ001>005-
009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051.

&&

$$

UPDATE...AC
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...AC



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.