Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 250839

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
339 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

The cold front will push into eastern North Dakota, with chances
for precipitation remaining near the surface low just along the
Canadian Border. Today will be another breezy day across western
and west central North Dakota. Winds around 30 mph out of the
west with gusts around 40 mph are expected. Current greenup and
cooler temperatures will again keep fire danger below the high
level even with the gusty winds.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

The weekend appears cool with scattered showers possible. Models
are a bit more dry than previous runs and don`t have the best
agreement. Therefore, only minimal chances for light rain is in
the forecast. An upper level low will circulate around Ontario
funneling several more shortwave troughs through the Northern
Plains in what could be a modestly active northwest flow regime
early next week. This pattern often produces an active
thunderstorm pattern in early June, but the latest guidance
suggests only minor precipiation chances and amounts through next


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017

Rain showers will continue to move to the east early Thursday
morning. Localized MVFR visibility may be possible in a few
showers. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the
forecast period. Gusty southeasterly winds will continue to shift
southwest to westerly today as a front moves through the area, and
remain gusty.




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