258
FXUS63 KGLD 300836
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
236 AM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler and drier today.

- Mostly dry through the early week, with chances for storms
  returning Independence Day weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 233 AM MDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Storms are beginning to wind down early this morning. There could
still be a gust to 65 mph and heavy rain causing isolated flooding,
mainly east of Highway 83. Storms should be clear of the area by 6am
CT.

Once the storms clear, a cooler day is forecast as the upper trough
finishes swinging through the Plains and on the back side of the
cold front. Highs are currently forecast to be in the 80s underneath
partly cloud skies. Winds should remain from the north around 10 to
15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

Tonight, skies are forecast to remain partly cloudy with winds
lightening and shifting to out of the south as the pressure gradient
weakens. Low temperatures are forecast to be a bit cooler in the 50s
and low 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1146 AM MDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Through Wednesday the forecast looks dry for the most part.  The
ridge over the Great Basin on Monday shifts east to the Central
Plains. This will route storm activity north of the forecast area.
During the latter half of the week the ridge may shift east of the
forecast area.  If this happens, that would allow upper level short
wave troughs to move over the forecast area.  Models show one such
short wave trough moving through Friday night, which will have a
large impact on Independence Day activities.  Additional rounds of
storm activity could happen each evening through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1119 PM MDT Sun Jun 29 2025

For KGLD... VFR conditions are forecast, but storms remain
possible through 10Z. The best chances are during the first few
hours. A few storms might be able to move over the terminal,
though current trends keep it just south. After 10Z (but as
early as 08Z), storms are forecast to be away from the terminal
and allow for clearing skies for the remainder of the period.
Winds could vary in direction with outflows from the storms, and
then steady from the north through the day. Storm gusts could
reach 40-50 kts.

For KMCK... VFR conditions are forecast, but storms are expected
through the first few hours. A line of stronger storms is
forecast to move in from the northwest around 07-08Z. This line
has produced gusts to 50 kts. Heavy rain could also lower
visibility to a few miles or less. Once the storms pass (likely
around 0830Z, but potentially 10Z), clearing skies are forecast
with winds becoming more steady from the north. Speeds would
likely remain around 10-15 kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAK
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...KAK