Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 050445
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
945 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...CLEAR SKIES WILL GRADUALLY BECOME CLOUDY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR
FLURRIES ALONG THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE TROUGH WILL BE MOISTURE
STARVED AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE INHIBITED BY DRY AIR AT THE
SURFACE. AS A RESULT...ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS FROM GENERALLY A
TRACE TO LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED.

FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES REMAINS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
MORNING WITH GRADUALLY CLEARING SKIES THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL PICK UP
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST JUST BEFORE MIDDAY AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION.
DUE TO WIDESPREAD SNOW COVER IN THE REGION...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP
OUT WELL BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY
REACHING THE LOWER 30S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  A TROUGH
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.  A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO
SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN SUNDAY/SUNDAY
NIGHT.

AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT THERE
WILL BE SOME FORCING OVER THE FA. HOWEVER, MOISTURE WILL NOT BE
ADEQUATE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION AND EVEN FLURRIES ARE DOUBTFUL.  THE
REMAINING PERIODS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND THEN SUNDAY
SHOW SUBSIDENCE.  AS A RESULT, ALL PERIODS WILL HAVE NIL TO SILENT
POPS.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO THE TEENS FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN
MODERATE TO THE LOWER AND MID 20S SATURDAY NIGHT DUE MAINLY TO CLOUD
COVER.  MAX TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER
40S.

IN THE EXTENDED...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...NORTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUES SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  A SURFACE HIGH WILL RESIDE
OVER THE AREA DURING THIS TIME.  SUBSIDENCE AND LACK OF MOISTURE
WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY THE ENTIRE TIME THROUGH THURSDAY.  POPS
WILL BE NIL FOR ALL PERIODS.

MAX TEMPERATURES MONDAY SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER 40S. A WARMING TREND
WILL PRODUCE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S TUESDAY WITH LOWER
TO MID 50S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  MIN TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY
RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 20S THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT MODERATING TO
THE UPPER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 945 PM MST THU FEB 4 2016

KGLD AND KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH
08Z WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM 09Z-15Z
MVFR CIGS AND POSSIBLY VIS DEVELOP AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH. THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE TERMINALS
WITH WINDS FROM THE WEST AROUND 6KTS. FROM AROUND 16Z OR 17Z
THROUGH 23Z CIGS IMPROVE TO VFR RATHER QUICKLY WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND GUSTING AROUND 25KTS. AFTER 00Z
WINDS DECREASE TO 10KTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH ONLY A FEW MID
AND/OR HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...99


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