Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KGLD 282034
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
234 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TRI STATE REGION WITH ONLY
LINGERING HIGH CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES...GIVING THE AREA MAINLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S...AND NORTHERLY WINDS WHICH
HAVE DIMINISHED SOME SINCE MORNING HIGHS.

GOING INTO TONIGHT...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLACKEN AS SURFACE RIDGE
CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OFF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE PLAINS REGION. WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE RIDGE...WINDS WILL
SHIFT MORE EASTERLY OVERNIGHT. FRONT TO OUR SOUTH BEGINS TO LIFT
BACK NORTHWARD TOWARDS MORNING. LOOKING FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 50S TO THE LOW 60S...COOLEST NORTH AND WEST.

FOR WEDNESDAY...MOVEMENT OF FRONT IS BLOCKED DUE TO SURFACE
RIDGE...SO HAVE LIMITED ANY POTENTIAL RW/TRW TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA...DROPPING OFF TOWARDS SUNSET AS MODELS BRING HIGH
PRESSURE FURTHER SOUTH OVER THE REGION. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR HIGHS
ON WEDNESDAY WITH RIDGE OVERHEAD...RANGING IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

FOR THIS RUN OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...A BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE SHOULD KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES RELATIVELY LOW.
HOWEVER...FORECAST GUIDANCE IS NOW INDICATING ANOTHER COLD FRONT...
SIMILAR TO THE ONE THAT PASSED THROUGH THIS MORNING...SLIDING ACROSS
THE PLAINS NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...ANTICIPATE A WARMING TREND FROM
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH A COOL DOWN TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

OVERALL...A FAIRLY STAGNANT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOULD TAKE HOLD AND
PERSIST. IN THE WAKE OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRAVERSING
THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS TODAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...CURRENTLY
CENTERED OVER OKLAHOMA...WILL SLIDE WEST AND NORTH. THE HIGH
PRESSURE SHOULD ALSO STRENGTHEN...REACHING PEAK INTENSITY THURSDAY
EVENING OVER NEW MEXICO. THE RIDGE SHOULD NOT MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH
FOR LONG AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SOUTH OVER THE PLAINS
WILL WEAKEN IT FURTHER. THIS IS WHEN A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH. SINCE THE TRI-STATE REGION WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...A FEW SHORTWAVES MAY ALLOW THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO
DEFINITIVE TROUGHS TO HONE IN ON. AS A RESULT...FORECAST SLIGHT
CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POPS EACH DAY BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW THAT
ANY DAY WILL PRODUCE VAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...A WARMING TREND BEGINS THURSDAY AND LASTS INTO
NEXT WEEK. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S ON
THURSDAY...LOW 90S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND MID 90S BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. ONCE THE FRONT COMES IN TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY...COOLER
TEMPERATURES SHOULD PREVAIL. MOST LIKELY...TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SIMILAR TO WHAT IS OCCURRING TODAY AND TOMORROW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH TAF SITES THRU FORECAST
PERIOD. BOTH WILL SEE MAINLY FEW-SCT250 THRU 14Z-16Z
WEDNESDAY...THEN SCT060-150 AS FRONT LIFTS NORTH. NNE WINDS
10-20KTS BECOMING ESE 5-15KTS 09Z WEDNESDAY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...JN


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.