Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 290930
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
230 AM MST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 230 AM MST THU JAN 29 2015

TODAY-TONIGHT...MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING
EXPECTED TO DECREASE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST AS DRIER AIR MOVES
IN. THIS LASTS THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR SO BEFORE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
START TO RETURN NORTHEAST IMPACTING THE SOUTHWEST 1/2 OF THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OFF THE BAJA COAST. NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. HIGHS 45 TO 50. LOWS COLDEST MCCOOK TO
NORTON AND HILL CITY (UPPER TEENS TO LOW 20S) WITH MILDEST READINGS
ACROSS FAR EASTERN COLORADO IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S.

FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS MOVES IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST PRODUCING A CLOUDY SKY FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THOSE NOT
UNDER THESE CLOUDS (NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE AREA) WILL BE UNDER A
CIRRUS CANOPY. LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE EAST OF A LINE FROM MCCOOK TO
COLBY AND TRIBUNE LATE IN THE DAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLOWLY
INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH ABOUT
MIDNIGHT BEFORE MIXING WITH OR CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT SNOW. THIS
MOISTURE IS IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW WHICH IS FORECAST TO DRIFT
SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIP OF CALIFORNIA/SOUTHWEST ARIZONA.
SHOULD MENTION THAT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME
BREEZY AND PERHAPS WINDY DURING THE DAY GENERALLY ALONG THE CO/KS
BORDER AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES MID 40S TO LOW 50S WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT...EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS CONTINUES OVER THE
AREA DURING THE DAY WITH A STEADY DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST. LIGHT PRECIPITATION REMAINS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY WITH
A DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN.
GENERALLY THINKING LIGHT RAIN DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS
WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW BY SUNSET. DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED. HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S WITH LOWS
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1146 PM MST WED JAN 28 2015

COLD AIR WILL BE ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA TO START THE PERIOD ON
SUNDAY WITH LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE WINDS AND PLENTY OF CLOUDS KEEPING
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL. THE REST OF THE PERIOD WILL BE
FAIRLY UNEVENTFUL AS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL BE UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW
BETWEEN A GREAT LAKES TROUGH AND WEST COAST RIDGE. NO SIGNIFICANT
DISTURBANCES ARE FORECAST IN THE FLOW AT THIS TIME SO PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL BE SLIM. TEMPERATURES AFTER SUNDAY WILL GENERALLY BE
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 230 AM MST THU JAN 29 2015

KGLD...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS 15G23KTS FROM TAF
ISSUANCE THROUGH 20Z WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 10KTS BY 21Z THEN BECOME
NORTHEAST 5-10KTS AROUND 23Z. LGT/VRB WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SFC HIGH
FROM 02Z THROUGH 06Z BEFORE SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10KTS DEVELOP FROM
07Z THROUGH REST OF TAF PERIOD. CIGS AROUND 10K FT EXPECTED FROM
TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH 17Z BEFORE MOVING SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL. ONLY
HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.

KMCK...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR CLOUDS
AROUND 1500` IN THE 14Z-17Z TIMEFRAME...OTHERWISE SKC THROUGH 01Z
THEN SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS. WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15KTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH 20Z WITH WINDS UNDER
10KTS THROUGH 00Z. SFC HIGH NEAR THE TERMINAL BY 02Z WITH LGT/VRB
WINDS UNDER 5KTS THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY
AROUND 6-7KTS TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...99


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