Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

453
FXUS63 KGLD 271835
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1235 PM MDT WED APR 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM MDT WED APR 27 2016

UPPER LOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD WESTERN IOWA TONIGHT. CLOUDS INCREASE
MID TO LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
WESTERN ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. WINDS GENERALLY FROM THE
NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO UPPER 30S
(WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA).

FOR THURSDAY THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALMOST DUE EAST INTO
SOUTHERN UTAH AND NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. CLOUDINESS SLOWLY LIFTS
NORTHEAST AS FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST. MAY SEE A FEW
SHOWERS ALONG THE NE/KS BORDER BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OTHERWISE A
DRY FORECAST EXPECTED. SFC WINDS SLOWLY VEER TO THE NORTH THEN
NORTHEAST AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY AROUND 10 MPH EXCEPT ACROSS THE
FAR WEST AND SOUTH WHERE SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH EXPECTED. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 50S TO AROUND 60.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT WED APR 27 2016

A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PIVOT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COUPLE OF
SMALLER TROUGHS THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND THE MAIN TROUGH DURING THE
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. POPS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS
THIS TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD IT WILL BROADEN AND NEARLY
STALL AS IT WILL BE CUT OFF FROM THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. A VERY WEAK
SHORTWAVE OF HIGHER HEIGHTS WILL FILL IN TO THE WEST OF THE CWA AS
WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY HOWEVER ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TAKE
SHAPE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN US AT THE SAME TIME. THIS H5 LOW WILL VERY
SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...PIVOTING WEAK
LOBES OF LOWER HEIGHTS AROUND THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE AREA. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE MORE AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY.
THE LOW WILL BROADEN INTO A WEAK TROUGH ON TUESDAY WITH POPS
GRADUALLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST AS IT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT WED APR 27 2016

KGLD...MVFR CIGS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH 19Z OR 20Z
WITH NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 30-35KTS. FROM 20Z THROUGH THE REST
OF THE TAF PERIOD VFR CONDITIONS RETURN AS LOW CLOUDS LIFT QUICKLY
TO THE NORTHEAST. NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH 00Z TO 01Z
BEFORE SUBSIDING TO 10KTS BY 02Z. THIS CONTINUES THROUGH 15Z WITH
A SLIGHT VEERING TO THE NORTH AT 10KTS FROM 16Z THROUGH THE REST
OF THE TAF PERIOD.

KMCK...MVFR CIGS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH ABOUT 20Z WITH
NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING NEAR 35KTS. FROM 21Z THROUGH 05Z CIGS
SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR WITH NORTHWEST WINDS INITIALLY GUSTING OVER
30KTS...DECREASING TO SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 13KTS BY 05Z. AFTER
06Z WINDS SLOWLY VEER TO THE NORTH NEAR 11KTS WITH CLOUDS
INCREASING AFTER 11Z.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...99



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.