Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 270659
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1259 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

TONIGHT...YET ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE AREA UNDER
FAST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WEATHER FEATURE (PER 850-500MB
MOISTURE) WILL FAVOR A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND/OR SNOW SHOWERS GENERALLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM YUMA TO GOODLAND AND OAKLEY WITH A VERY SLOW
MOVEMENT TO THE EAST THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION
TO THE PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL WILL BE A THREAT FOR SOME FOG PER
BOUNDARY LAYER RH AND LIGHT EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS. THIS LOOKS TO BE
EAST OF A LINE FROM TRENTON TO NEAR COLBY AND OAKLEY.
HOWEVER...GIVEN AROUND 5F TEMP/DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS HAVE DECIDED
TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE GRIDS AT PRESENT TIME. LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 EXCEPT LOW TO MAYBE MID 30S ALONG AND
WEST OF THE CO/KS BORDER.

FRIDAY...BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS
BUT FORECAST AREA WILL BE PLAGUED WITH MID AND HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS. LOOKS LIKE (PER 700MB RH) ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS BRINGING WITH
IT INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS WHERE GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE WILL BE SOME WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE LAPSE RATES BEHIND IT. THIS FEATURE AND WINDY
CONDITIONS MOVE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OUT OF THE AREA
SHORTLY AFTER DARK. WONT INTRODUCE ANY PRECIP MENTION RIGHT NOW BUT
ITS WORTH WATCHING. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 60S NORTON AND
HILL CITY WITH UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

MONDAY AND TUESDAY THE HIGH PLAINS WILL BE UNDER RIDGING AND WEAK
FLOW ALOFT. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS
THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. IT WILL ENCOUNTER SOME MINIMAL MOISTURE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA AND PERHAPS RESULT IN
A CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ON WEDNESDAY. IT WILL COOL OFF
TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 DEGREES FOR WEDNESDAY. A SECOND SYSTEM WILL
TAKE A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK LATE IN THE WEEK AND PROVIDE BETTER
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE MARGINAL FOR A RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX...ESPECIALLY DURING
NIGHT TIME HOURS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM MDT THU MAR 26 2015

WSR88D INDICATES A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO.
BAND IS SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE...BUT INTENSITY REMAINS
LIGHT. WILL INDICATE VFR CEILINGS AT KGLD. THERE MAY BRIEF
SPRINKLES AT THE SITE...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO LOWER VISIBILITIES OR
CEILINGS INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SLIDE EAST
THROUGH 12Z...SO SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT KMCK. UPSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS SHOW MVFR CEILINGS IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND THIS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA BY 06Z. WILL
INDICATE LOWER CEILINGS AT KMCK. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT BOTH
SITES AFTER 15Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...MENTZER



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