Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KGLD 240004
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
504 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 501 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

UPDATE TO EXPIRE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR COLORADO COUNTIES AS WINDS
HAVE NOT DROPPED WELL BELOW CRITERIA...AND THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE WITH CONTINUED STABILIZATION OF THE BL. LIGHT SNOW IS
LINGERING OVER NW KANSAS...THOUGH SUBSIDENCE (APPARENT ON WV
IMAGERY) IS BEGINNING TO MOVE EAST OUT OF COLORADO. THIS WILL BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR RAPID CLEAR AND DISSIPATION OF THIS
ACTIVITY...WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE LATEST SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR AND SEE HOW THINGS PROGRESS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 302 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WITH A RIDGE MOVING OVER THE WEST COAST.  AT
THE SURFACE WINDS WERE CONTINUING TO DECLINE AND VISIBILITIES WERE
IMPROVING.  THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES WERE BEING REPORTED UNDER THE
FEW AREAS OF SNOW THAT STILL LINGERED OVER THE AREA. WITH WINDS
DECLINING AND VISIBILITIES IMPROVING HAVE CANCELLED THE ADVISORIES
AND WARNINGS EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

TONIGHT EXPECT THE WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT TO BREEZY BY MIDNIGHT.
SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST AS DRIER AIR MOVES OVER THE AREA.
WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THE DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S.  WITH THE WARM
GROUND TEMPERATURES FROM EARLIER TODAY MELTING QUITE A BIT OF SNOW
ON ROADWAYS...EXPECT ICE TO DEVELOP TONIGHT.  THIS WILL LEAD TO VERY
SLICK ROADWAYS AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

.LONG TERM...(CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGING MOVES OVER THE AREA AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WITH LOTS OF SUN. RIDGE AXIS MOVES EAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH THAT STARTS TO
IMPACT THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY.

ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG (TO GET THINGS STARTED) THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT. THIS WILL STEADILY MOVE SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT
THURSDAY NIGHT.

BASED ON 850-500RH TRIMMED POPS BACK A BIT IN AREAL COVERAGE
STARTING LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THEN GRADUALLY INCREASED
THEM FRIDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY UPPER 30S TO MID 40S WITH LOWS IN THE
LOW 20S. ON THURSDAY A WIDE VARIATION OF TEMPERATURES WITH MID/UPPER
30S ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST (YUMA...DUNDY...CHEYENNE CO) TO THE
UPPER 50S MAYBE 60 IN THE TRIBUNE AND LEOTI AREAS. LOWS IN THE MID
TEENS TO LOW 20S. FINALLY...FOR FRIDAY COLDER WITH LOW TO MID 20S
FAR EASTERN COLORADO WITH AROUND 30 HILL CITY TO TRIBUNE.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS THE FAR EAST THROUGH SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DRY BUT
COLD CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR SUNDAY HIGHS A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING WITH SEASONAL LOWS AT NIGHT. FOR MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 408 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

RADAR SHOWS LIGHT SNOW IN PLACE OVER NW KANSAS WHICH IS COMBINING
WITH 40-44KT WINDS TO REDUCE VIS TO NEAR 1SM...WHICH IS IMPACTING
KGLD. STRATUS DECK IN THE 1500-3000FT DECK IS IMPACTING BOTH
TERMINALS. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL TRANSITION SOUTH AND EAST AND
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT HOUR AS STABLE/DRY AIR MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST. BOTH TERMINALS WILL SEE IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 03Z. WINDS
WILL ALSO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TO AROUND 12 KT BY 06Z...SHIFTING
FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DR
SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...DR


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.