Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 222056
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
256 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 241 AM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Across the Tri State region this morning...skies are clear with a
light WNW wind over the area. The current conditions are giving the
region temps ranging from the upper 20s thru the mid 30s...coldest
over western portions of the area. With several more hours left
until sunrise...do expect locales to drop further aiding in criteria
for current Freeze Warning in effect thru 14z this morning.

For the rest of today...lee-side trough over the Front Range
combined with H5/H7 ridge axis over the region will give the area a
dry warm day with highs into the lower 70s.

Going into tonight and on thru Tuesday night...H5/H7 ridge amplifies
over the western portion of the country creating a NNW flow. Trough
is replaced by strong surface ridge which noses south after the
passage of a cold front on Monday. Strong gradient winds expected on
the back side of the front. These winds will bring back a cooler
airmass to the area. Daytime highs Monday/Tuesday will be in the 60s
with overnight lows mainly in the 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 249 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

After a cold front pushes through western Kansas early Monday,
another surge of drier air will move into the high plains. Tuesday
night, we will see NW winds 25 knots with gusts 30-35 knots across
the area. Afterward, winds will relax becoming westerly.

Ridging will continue to build over the area giving us mostly
sunny skies through Thursday. Come Thursday evening into Friday,
temperatures will start to drop ahead of a fast moving cold front
from the Pacific Northwest. Expecting strong CAA to accompany this
system with a chance of mixed rain and snow showers moving along
the northwest CO/KS state line. Low temps will drop into the mid
20`s overnight Thursday and Friday, and any counties in the CWA
that have not met hard freeze criteria should finally meet the
criteria.

Sunday, we will see the area start to warm up ever so slightly.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1020 AM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

For KGLD and KMCK, vfr conditions expected through the period.
West to southwest winds of 15kts with some higher gusts will be
common from taf issuance through about 21z before becoming west
and subsiding to around 11kts. For tonight winds steadily veer
around to the northwest and by 12z should be 12-14kts. For the
morning hours Monday winds quickly increase with gusts near 35kts
expected at the end of the period.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Red Flag Warning until 4 PM MDT /5 PM CDT/ this afternoon for
     KSZ001-013-027.

CO...Red Flag Warning until 4 PM MDT this afternoon for COZ253.

NE...Red Flag Warning until 4 PM MDT this afternoon for NEZ079.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...EV
AVIATION...99



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