Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 301758
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1158 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT
TUE JUN 30 2015

THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER UTAH WILL RETROGRESS TO A CENTER OVER
NEVADA BY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THERE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A
SURFACE TROUGH OVER WYOMING WILL SHIFT SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST
COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
NORTHWEST KANSAS LATER TONIGHT. AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS FURTHER SOUTH
AND EAST WEDNESDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH THE FRONT MOVING BACK NORTH AND EAST INTO EASTERN COLORADO.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE NORTH ON THURSDAY AND SHOULD BE POSITIONED
ACROSS THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH
ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
FOLLOWING.

THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY DUE TO THE LACK OF ANY FORCING.
LATER TONIGHT A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FA PROVIDING A
SLIGHT CHANCE NEAR THE SURFACE TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO. POPS WILL
BE NIL WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE PREVIOUS
NIGHT`S SHORTWAVE AND THE TROUGH POSITIONED WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FA. POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WILL BE TIED TO THE
POSITION AND TIMING OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES BACK NORTH AND EAST
INTO THE AREA. PLAN TO GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
FA LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE TO INCLUDE ALL OF EASTERN COLORADO INTO
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. POPS SHOULD BE HIGHEST THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
EVENING AS GOOD DYNAMICS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.  POPS WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE
EXITS THE AREA.

MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 90S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO AROUND 100 IN THE EASTERN FA. SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY WITH READINGS FROM THE LOWER
TO MID/UPPER 90S. MID 80S ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES. MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD BE WARMER WITH
READINGS FROM THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70.  MID 60S ARE FORECAST FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND LOWER 60S THURSDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO
TRAVEL SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GENERATE PRECIP CHANCES FOR
THE AREA. DRIER AIR THEN MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATER ON
FRIDAY FROM THE NORTH. FOR THE WEEKEND...THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS PROGRESSES EAST AND BRINGS DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE HIGH
PLAINS. THERE ARE HOWEVER SOME PATCHY POPS DUE TO DISTURBANCES
MOVING ALONG THE WEAKENED RIDGE. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG
CLOSED LOW MOVES ACROSS CANADA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE NEXT
ROUND OF PRECIP CHANCES AT THE START OF THE WEEK.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S AT THE BEGINNING OF
THE EXTENDED AND GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE
MOVES EASTWARD...REACHING THE 90S BY SUNDAY BEFORE COOLING OFF A FEW
DEGREES ON MONDAY. LOWS LOOK TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT MCK AND GLD THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT
THAT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION AFTER 06Z. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE A PREVAILING CONDITION AT EITHER SITE. A FEW LOWER CLOUDS MAY
ALSO BE OBSERVED AT MCK BETWEEN 10Z-13Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...LOCKHART



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