Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 232205
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
305 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 302 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WITH A RIDGE MOVING OVER THE WEST COAST.  AT
THE SURFACE WINDS WERE CONTINUING TO DECLINE AND VISIBILITIES WERE
IMPROVING.  THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES WERE BEING REPORTED UNDER THE
FEW AREAS OF SNOW THAT STILL LINGERED OVER THE AREA. WITH WINDS
DECLINING AND VISIBILITIES IMPROVING HAVE CANCELLED THE ADVISORIES
AND WARNINGS EAST OF THE COLORADO BORDER.

TONIGHT EXPECT THE WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT TO BREEZY BY MIDNIGHT.
SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST AS DRIER AIR MOVES OVER THE AREA.
WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THE DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S.  WITH THE WARM
GROUND TEMPERATURES FROM EARLIER TODAY MELTING QUITE A BIT OF SNOW
ON ROADWAYS...EXPECT ICE TO DEVELOP TONIGHT.  THIS WILL LEAD TO VERY
SLICK ROADWAYS AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

.LONG TERM...(CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 302 PM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER RIDGING MOVES OVER THE AREA AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WITH LOTS OF SUN. RIDGE AXIS MOVES EAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH THAT STARTS TO
IMPACT THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY.

ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG (TO GET THINGS STARTED) THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT. THIS WILL STEADILY MOVE SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT
THURSDAY NIGHT.

BASED ON 850-500RH TRIMMED POPS BACK A BIT IN AREAL COVERAGE
STARTING LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THEN GRADUALLY INCREASED
THEM FRIDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY UPPER 30S TO MID 40S WITH LOWS IN THE
LOW 20S. ON THURSDAY A WIDE VARIATION OF TEMPERATURES WITH MID/UPPER
30S ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST (YUMA...DUNDY...CHEYENNE CO) TO THE
UPPER 50S MAYBE 60 IN THE TRIBUNE AND LEOTI AREAS. LOWS IN THE MID
TEENS TO LOW 20S. FINALLY...FOR FRIDAY COLDER WITH LOW TO MID 20S
FAR EASTERN COLORADO WITH AROUND 30 HILL CITY TO TRIBUNE.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS THE FAR EAST THROUGH SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DRY BUT
COLD CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR SUNDAY HIGHS A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING WITH SEASONAL LOWS AT NIGHT. FOR MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 429 AM MST TUE DEC 23 2014

WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW WITH OCCASIONAL MODERATE SNOW BANDS COMBINED WITH
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING UP TO 50KTS WILL RESULT IN
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS AS LOW AS 1/2SM THIS MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY
IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH BLOWING SNOW BECOMING THE MAIN
CONCERN. AS BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES AFTER SUNSET...WINDS WILL
DIMINISH AND FLIGHT CATEGORIES RAPIDLY IMPROVE.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ090>092.

NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JTL
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...024


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