Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 022236
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
436 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

ENOUGH DRY AIR ALOFT APPEARS TO BE PRESENT TO CONTINUE WITH A DRY
FORECAST TONIGHT. FOR THURSDAY SOME INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE
APPEARS TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS THE UPPER PATTERN SHOWS A RIDGE AXIS TO THE
EAST AND TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST/PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL BE THE
MAIN UPPER FEATURE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL WEAKEN LATER IN
THE PERIOD AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES NEXT WEEK.
IN THE MEANTIME...WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CLIMBING THE RIDGE IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING LOW CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATE WITH AFOREMENTIONED NORTHERN ROCKIES SYSTEM WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA ON SUNDAY BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR TO
THE REGION BEGINNING ON MONDAY. POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE MAY AID IN
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH SOMEWHAT BETTER
FLOW ALOFT AND EMBEDDED WEAK DISTURBANCES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 431 PM MDT WED SEP 2 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH A GENERAL SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT. LOOK
FOR WINDS TO PICK UP THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN KGLD AND KMCK WITH SOUTH
TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO NEAR 22 MPH.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...TL


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