744
FXUS63 KGLD 130839
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
239 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer temperatures in the 90s and generally dry conditions
  are forecast through Monday.

- Daily chances for showers and storms begin Tuesday during the
  afternoon to evening hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 238 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025

For today and tonight, clear to mostly clear skies are forecast
across the region as an upper ridge noses into the area from the
west. There could be a few patches of fog this morning as dewpoint
depressions remain around a few degrees or less, but
south.southwesterly winds should help keep things mixed enough for
most of the area to stay clear. Temperatures are forecast to be
warmer today in the upper 80s and lower 90s with the clear skies and
some warm air advection from the southwest. Winds are forecast to
remain around 10 mph or less as the upper ridge is forecast to
weaken the flow aloft while the lack of features keeps the area in a
broad pressure gradient. Lows tonight are forecast to cool back into
the lower 60s with a few upper 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Moving into next week, the upper level ridge moves further across
the Great Plains while lee surface troughs develop along the Front
Range to High Plains region. Moisture will try to advect into the
Tri-State area from Mexico and the Gulf beginning Monday evening,
bringing some weak 20% chances for showers or storms along the Front
Range into Northeast Colorado. Confidence is low currently for any
storms to make it into the forecast area. The active pattern
continues through much of next week with daily chances for showers
and storms during the afternoon and evening hours through the
weekend. With the ridge pattern remaining dominant and limited
potential for forcing, confidence is low to moderate. Should severe
storms develop, all modes can be possible with flash flooding a
possibility for those who get multiple rounds of rain. High
temperatures will be in the 90s Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday will
be slightly cooler with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Thursday
and Friday could have highs in the 80s both days before warming into
the low 90s. Overnight lows each night will fluctuate around the 50s
to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 941 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025

VFR conditions forecast for the TAFs. Light winds will continue
through the TAF. There will be moisture advection through 12z
over the forecast area. However soundings do not show a
saturated layer occurring at or above the surface. Therefore
confidence for fog formation is low.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAK
LONG TERM...KMK
AVIATION...JTL