Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 260543
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1043 PM MST WED FEB 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 108 PM MST WED FEB 25 2015

COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWEST AND CLEAR THE FORECAST AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SCATTERED VIRGA/RAIN SHOWERS WILL
CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT MAINLY IN EASTERN COLORADO AS THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND THE FRONT. LIGHT SNOW CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE FOR COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY...MAINLY DRIVEN BY LOW
LEVEL UPSLOPE. A COUPLE OF INCHES MIGHT BE POSSIBLE IN WESTERN
PARTS OF KIT CARSON AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES...BUT ELSEWHERE
ACCUMULATIONS IF ANY WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. TEMPERATURES WILL
PLUMMET IN THE ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THE FRONT LATER TONIGHT...WITH
LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGHS ON THURSDAY IN THE TEENS. WIND
CHILL READINGS BOTTOM OUT AROUND 5 BELOW THURSDAY MORNING...SO NO
HIGHLIGHT WILL BE REQUIRED.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 PM MST WED FEB 25 2015

THURSDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...CENTER OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TOWARD IOWA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD REACHING
ILLINOIS BY THE END OF THE DAY FRIDAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING
UPPER TROUGH STRENGTHENS OVER PARTS OF UTAH AND NEVADA...SIMILAR TO
UPPER PATTERN A FEW DAYS AGO. SHOULD SEE WINDY CONDITIONS GENERALLY
ALONG/WEST OF THE CO/KS BORDER. ON SATURDAY GRADIENT DECREASES A
BIT WITH PERHAPS SOME BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS.

ONE WEATHER DISTURBANCE PER 850-500MB MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH DECREASING CLOUDS FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BY 00Z SATURDAY. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW
WOULD BE GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM BENKELMAN TO COLBY AND GOVE.
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH TO TWO. ANOTHER BATCH OF MOISTURE
(ALTHOUGH TIMING OF IT DIFFERS BETWEEN THE MODELS) MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ADDING ANOTHER FEW TENTHS TO AN INCH
OF ACCUMULATION.

LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT A FEW DEGREES BELOW ZERO TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
ZERO. LESS COLD FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS AROUND 10F. HIGHS ON FRIDAY
MID TEENS WEST TO LOW/MID 20S EAST/NORTHEAST. FOR SATURDAY MID TO
UPPER 20S.

SATURDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY...FORECAST AREA UNDER UPPER AIR PATTERN
SIMILAR TO A FEW DAYS AGO WITH AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHWEST STATES WITH MID LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA.
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. BELOW NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW LOW TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM MST WED FEB 25 2015

MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KGLD AND KMCK OVERNIGHT DUE TO
METARS UPSTREAM SHOWING MVFR CIGS. STRATUS WILL BE SLOW TO BREAK
UP AT KGLD. KMCK WILL BECOME VFR BY MIDDAY AND REMAIN VFR THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KGLD
INDICATES STRATUS SHOULD RETURN THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...FS


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