


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
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367 FXUS63 KGLD 080428 AFDGLD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1028 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Storms are possible Tuesday with the main threat of strong to damaging wind gusts. - Remaining mild throughout with highs around the low 90s. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 818 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025 The severe weather threat has diminished though some isolated showers and thunderstorms may linger into the late evening and early overnight hours. Thereafter expecting the sky to clear and should winds become light and conditions be allowed to radiate out there is the possibility of some patchy fog, especially in any low lying areas and more so if they have been saturated in rain the past 24 to 48 hours. Dewpoints were around 60 during max temperatures today and using that as a threshold, should any locations fall at or below there is the threat of lower visibilities with patchy fog during the morning hours. Lows tonight are forecast in the mid to upper 50s for the over half of the forecast area encompassing east-central CO, southwest NE and northeast KS. Again, dependence on how quickly and effectively clouds clear with todays shower and thunderstorm activity. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 1220 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025 Generally, weak ridging will persist over the area for the long term forecast Tuesday through the weekend. As a result, there will be the potential for some isolated to scattered storms daily in the afternoon and evening hours through the week and weekend. The best location for these storms would be mainly for our western half of the area, but everywhere could see storms daily. Generally, there is still some uncertainty as to the severity of these storms. At least for Tuesday, we are outlooked in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather, so a few of these storms could be severe with the main risks being winds greater than 60mph and large hail tomorrow. Beyond tomorrow, the storms look to be primarily sub-severe, but we will continue to monitor for changes. Temperatures will be a bit warmer as we go toward the end of the workweek. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s across the area, so be sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks if you will be spending time outdoors! MSW && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1022 PM MDT Mon Jul 7 2025 Dry conditions are currently forecast tonight for each terminal. Am watching a few storms entering Morgan county in Colorado that have been persistent over the past 60-90 minutes; however these storms will be moving across areas where instability should be waned from earlier storms so am giving it a less than 5% of impacting the KGLD terminal. For KMCK, am seeing a signal for stratus and/or fog around 11Z-15Z but this may end up staying north of Red Willow county; have kept the TAF VFR for now but do indicate the potential in the form of 6sm BR and SCT010. Another potential for storms or outflow from storms to move through the KGLD terminal after 00Z Wednesday so have introduced a PROB30 for this. Most guidance has been trending towards this scenario so will be interesting to see if the trend continues. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Sipprell LONG TERM...Williams AVIATION...Trigg