000
FXUS63 KGLD 292344
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
444 PM MST FRI NOV 29 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM MST FRI NOV 29 2013

THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN JET STREAMS THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL CAUSE A FEW MID LEVEL CLOUDS
BUT OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THAT DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST. DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL OVERRIDE ANY
POST FRONTAL COOLING AND TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE WARMER
THAN TODAY. BASED ON WHAT HAPPENED TODAY AND FORECAST 925-850MB
TEMPERATURES WILL RAISE HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 60S. THIS RESULTS IN
AFTERNOON RH VALUES AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT...BUT WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT SO THERE WILL BE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM MST FRI NOV 29 2013

UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RESIDE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THIS TIME.

SUBSIDENCE AND LACK OF MOISTURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS ONGOING
THROUGH MONDAY. POPS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WILL REMAIN
NIL.

850 TEMPERATURES INDICATE THAT UNSEASONABLY MILD HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE MID/UPPER 50S SHOULD OCCUR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MIN
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 20S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHTS.

IN THE EXTENDED...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...

DRY AND UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL LAST THROUGH TUESDAY AS
WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. MODELS BRING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES STILL LOOK
VERY UNCERTAIN TUESDAY NIGHT BUT WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER
THE NORTHERN FA IN THE NEBRASKA ZONES. MODELS INDICATE BETTER
DYNAMICS MOVING INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION IN SOUTHWEST FLOW. POPS
DECREASE FRIDAY AS DYNAMICS SHIFT SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH. MAX
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL RISE TO THE MID 50S AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. MAX TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO AROUND
40. MAX TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO
UPPER 20S. MIN TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL FALL INTO
THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. MIN TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHTS WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS WITH SOME SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO
FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 441 PM MST FRI NOV 29 2013

VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS TURNING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD AT MCK AND GLD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...LOCKHART