000
FXUS63 KGLD 020729
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1229 AM MST MON DEC 2 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM MST SUN DEC 1 2013

MILD WEATHER CONTINUES AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT STREAMS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.  A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER
CONSOLIDATES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO THE BLACK HILLS REGION ON
MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALOFT MOVES THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  SURFACE PRESSURES ALL
ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS DECREASE THROUGH MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS A RESULT OF THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS AND THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA
REMAINING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. EXPECT SOME INCREASE
IN SKY COVER AS MOISTURE ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...BUT
DO NOT EXPECT IT TO LIMIT TEMPERATURES AS THE WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW WILL AID IN HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING WELL INTO THE 60S TO
NEAR 70 DEGREES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY.  WITH LOW
DEWPOINTS AND WARM TEMPERATURES PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
INCREASING WINDS...THE FIRE DANGER WILL BECOME ELEVATED...BUT DO NOT
EXPECT TO REACH FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM MST MON DEC 2 2013

ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE ROCKIES AND
MIDWEST THROUGH THE ENTIRE LONG TERM PERIOD. IT ALMOST LOOKS LIKE
THE POLAR VORTEX HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE WITH
OCCASIONAL VORTICITY LOBES ROTATING AROUND IT...EACH BRINGING A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. WITHOUT A DEEP CUT OFF SYSTEM TO ENHANCE
FORCING AND THE DRY NATURE OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS...NOT EXPECTING
MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION OF WHAT WILL BE A VERY FINE SNOW
WITH LOW LIQUID CONTENT. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF
THE TEENS FOR HIGHS DURING THE ENTIRE PERIOD AND LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW TO SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE
ZERO...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES OCCASIONALLY GETTING CLOSE TO
ADVISORY CRITERIA (15 BELOW).

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1000 PM MST SUN DEC 1 2013

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT GLD
AND MCK. IN THE SHORT TERM...SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN
CLOUD DECK WILL OCCUR THROUGH ABOUT 10Z TO 12Z AT MCK AND GLD AS
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES. OTHERWISE SOME CIRRUS IS POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WESTERLY
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST WIND
WILL INCREASE FURTHER TOMORROW AND BECOME GUSTY DURING THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING DURING THE EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...BRB