000
FXUS63 KGLD 191925
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
125 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1133 AM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A
VORTICITY LOBE ROTATING AROUND THE MAIN UPPER LOW OVER THE DAKOTAS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. DUE TO
LIMITED INSTABILITY...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. ACTIVITY
WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER
SYSTEM STILL EXPECT A FEW TO LINGER EVEN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. MONDAY LOOKS LIKE A VIRTUAL REPEAT...WITH ANOTHER VORT LOBE
ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW WHICH IS NEARLY STATIONARY.
CONSEQUENTLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE. INSTABILITY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE VERY LIMITED...LESS THAN
500 J/KG IS FORECAST...SO SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 120 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013

UPPER LOW TO CONTINUE INFLUENCING THE AREAS WEATHER THROUGH
TUESDAY BEFORE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS UPPER RIDGING MOVES IN AHEAD OF A LARGE UPPER
LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST STATES. OVERNIGHT LOWS THROUGH THE
PERIOD GENERALLY IN THE 40S. HIGHS TUESDAY MID/UPPER 60S NORTH TO
MID 70S SOUTH...MID 70S NORTH TO LOW 80S SOUTH WEDNESDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY TUESDAY WITH RATHER LIGHT WINDS
FOR WEDNESDAY. STILL EXPECTING SOME SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING AS ONE LAST DISTURBANCE ROTATES ACROSS THE AREA ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LOW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...FORECAST AREA CAUGHT IN BETWEEN UPPER
LOW TO THE NORTHWEST AND UPPER HIGH ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH. AS WAS
THE CASE YESTERDAY IT APPEARS THAT MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL FLOW
INTO THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS BY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1133 AM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER LOW OVER THE DAKOTAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. EITHER KGLD OR KMCK
COULD SEE A BRIEF FLIGHT CATEGORY RESTRICTION FROM THIS ACTIVITY.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...024