Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS63 KGLD 130930

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
230 AM MST Tue Feb 13 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM MST Mon Feb 12 2018

Longwave trough currently extends across the Great Basin, with
southwest VLow across the Central High Plains. A shortwave trough is
currently moving over our CWA and is responsible for light returns
(likely associated with flurries) transitioning over our eastern
CWA. A warm front has stalled just north of interstate 70 in NW
Kansas. Tight southerly gradient has developed east of surface low
pressure in CO, and gusts have been observed around 45 mph. This has
caused minor drifting and blowing snow where lingering snow pack is
in place.

Tonight-Wednesday: Southwest flow aloft persists through these
periods, and the arctic air mass previously entrenched over our CWA
will slowly retreat to the northeast, with WAA from the southwest.
This pattern may continue to support period of opaque cirrus and
this (as well as lingering snow pack) limits confidence on temps.
Overall the trend should be towards dry conditions and warmer
temperatures. If there is more sunshine than currently expected we
may see highs approach 70F Wed afternoon, otherwise the air mass
would still be warm enough to supper highs around 60F.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through next Monday)
Issued at 230 AM MST Tue Feb 13 2018

Stagnant upper pattern will feature low pressure near Hudson Bay
in Canada and a ridge in the Gulf of Alaska. The central plains
will be under mainly dry northwest to zonal flow between those
two features, with a weak shortwave trough bringing a chance for
light snow in the Sunday night to Monday time period. Temperatures
will start the period on Friday near normal, then warm to above
normal over the weekend ahead of the system, cooling to below
normal Monday and Tuesday behind it.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1034 PM MST Mon Feb 12 2018

Vfr conditions are expected through the period. For Kgld, south
southeast winds near 16 knots and low level wind shear will
continue until 10z. At 10z, the south winds of near 12 knots will
shift to the southwest at 13z with speeds near 8 knots and this
will continue until late in the afternoon. At 22z, the winds will
shift back to the south at 7 knots.

For Kmck, southeast winds near 8 knots and low level wind shear
will continue until 13z. From 13z to 17z the southeast winds will
continue at 6 knots. At 17z the winds will shift to the southwest
at 6 knots and continue through the end of the period.




AVIATION...BULLER is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.