Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FXUS63 KABR 260526 AAB
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1226 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 911 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

Made some adjustments to sky cover as most of the CWA has cleared
off, with just some high clouds approaching from the southwest. No
changes made to winds or temperatures at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 313 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

Pcpn chances are the main challenge in the short range. Tonight
should again prove tranquil as the cu/sc and spkls over the
northeast cwa gradually come to an end with loss of diabatic
heating. Out west a couple of mid level systems are expected to
track east toward the forecast area. Most models are fairly
aggressive in developing a pcpn shield out west early Friday, and
then moving it east during the day. Cape progs suggest a mix of rain
and thunder with temperatures remaining relatively cool out west
where more clouds and pcpn will exist. The rain chances gradually
shift east Friday night and Saturday as main p/v anomaly moves
across the region. Lingering showers are possible Saturday night
otherwise conditions should begin to dry out. Temperatures overall
during the period will favor below normal.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 313 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

The long term portion of the forecast begins with nearly zonal flow
with warm air advecting into the region. The upper level flow
pattern will become southwesterly over the region as a west coast
trough deepens by the middle of next week. Moisture will advect into
the region with the southwesterly flow with scattered thunderstorms
possible. Temperatures through the period will average above normal
with highs in the 80s to the lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

VFR conditions will prevail across the area overnight and into early
Friday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will develop across the
far western CWA Friday morning, then will spread eastward across the
central and eastern CWA during the afternoon and evening hours.
Brief periods of MVFR cigs and vsbys are possible with the
thunderstorms.

&&

.ABR Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Parkin
SHORT TERM...TDK
LONG TERM...SD
AVIATION...Wise



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