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000
FXUS63 KABR 281138 AAA
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
638 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

.UPDATE...
12Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED BELOW.

&&
.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN AREA OF STRATUS AROUND 6KFT IS PASSING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING. NAM PROFILES SHOW ANOTHER DAY OF WEAK INSTABILITY...SO
ADDITIONAL STRATOCUMULUS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AROUND ITS PERIPHERY
ONCE THE SUN COMES UP. THAT SAID...WILL MAINTAIN HIGHS AS PARTIAL
CLEARING BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WOULD STILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO REACH
INTO THE 70S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE REST
OF THE FORECAST TIMEFRAME WITH STABLE CONDITIONS. A SLOW WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH MID WEEK AS WELL COLD ADVECTION WEAKENS
TODAY AND WARMER AIR BEGINS TO INFILTRATE FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE
PERIOD.



.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN REMAINS NEARLY THE SAME THROUGH THE LONG
TERM. THE 50H RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US AND TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
US PATTERN REMAINS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH...THE
EASTERN US TROUGH WEAKENS SUBSTANTIALLY THROUGH THE PERIOD. THUS...WEAK
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH MAYBE SOME
EASTWARD MOVEMENT LATE. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...DRY CONDITIONS...
LIGHT WINDS WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. SCT-BKN STRATUS CLOUDS WILL DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS ATY AND
ABR INTO THE AFTERNOON.


&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$
UPDATE...MOHR
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...MOHR
AVIATION...MOHR

WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN