Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 270837
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
237 AM MDT WED APR 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT WED APR 27 2016

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT BROUGHT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE
REGION OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL SLOWLY EXIT OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CWA FOR TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY.
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ONCE
MORE AS WE HEAD INTO FRIDAY. RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIKELY ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.


.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM MDT WED APR 27 2016

A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PIVOT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A COUPLE OF
SMALLER TROUGHS THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND THE MAIN TROUGH DURING THE
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. POPS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS
THIS TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD IT WILL BROADEN AND NEARLY
STALL AS IT WILL BE CUT OFF FROM THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. A VERY WEAK
SHORTWAVE OF HIGHER HEIGHTS WILL FILL IN TO THE WEST OF THE CWA AS
WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY HOWEVER ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TAKE
SHAPE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN US AT THE SAME TIME. THIS H5 LOW WILL VERY
SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...PIVOTING WEAK
LOBES OF LOWER HEIGHTS AROUND THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE AREA. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE MORE AS WE HEAD INTO MONDAY.
THE LOW WILL BROADEN INTO A WEAK TROUGH ON TUESDAY WITH POPS
GRADUALLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST AS IT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 PM MDT TUE APR 26 2016

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE HAS INCREASED OVER KGLD AND IS IN
THE PROCESS OF MOVING TOWARD KMCK...WITH UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM NOW IN
PLACE OVER NW KANSAS. EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO PREVAIL IN THE EARLY TAF
PERIOD (BRIEFLY 1000 FT) WITH MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.
TREND SHOULD BE TOWARDS THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO DIMINISH LEAVING
JUST SHOWERS AS MUCH MORE STABLE AIR CONTINUES TO SPREAD OVER BOTH
TERMINALS. SHOWERS WILL LINGER AT KMCK LONGER...POSSIBLY THROUGH
MOST OF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED AT
BOTH TERMINALS BY MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. GUSTY NW WINDS ARE
ALREADY IN PLACE AT BOTH TERMINALS AND SHOULD ONLY INCREASE AFTER
SUNRISE WITH DAYTIME GUSTS 30-40KT POSSIBLE.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...DR



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