Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 260819

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
219 AM MDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 136 PM MDT Mon Jul 25 2016

Isolated showers and thunderstorms should begin to develop and
work their way off the Rockies and across the central high plains
through late this afternoon and overnight. No severe weather is
expected with these storms since they should dissipate as they
move east of the eastern Colorado border region.

A warm front lifts northeast across the forecast area on Tuesday
as surface high pressure divides and moves to the east and west
of the area and a surface trough deepens along the eastern plains
of Colorado in response to the changing upper air pattern.
Amplifying northwesterly flow aloft is expected as the upper high
retrogrades over the west and an upper trough begins to deepen
over the Mississippi Valley region.

Timing of a short wave trough aloft moving through the
increasingly northwest flow is favorable for late afternoon and
evening timing of thunderstorm enhancement along the warm frontal
boundary as it lifts northeast across the area. Expect a few
strong to marginally severe storms mainly north of U.S. Highway

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 215 AM MDT Tue Jul 26 2016

At the beginning of the extended period the western ridge strengthens
as the eastern trough deepens producing a northwest upper level
flow over the CWA on Friday. This is an unsettled pattern as
a series of shortwave troughs will propagate between this ridge
and trough. Resulting in chance of afternoon/overnight
thunderstorms on Friday.

On Saturday, the ridge will begin to move eastward with its axis
looking to be located over the Tri-State area by the end of the
period. This ridge will influence the start of the new week by
producing drier condition and above normal temperatures. The highs
will reach the upper 90s while the overnight lows will fall into
the mid to upper 60s.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1033 PM MDT Mon Jul 25 2016

Prevailing VFR conditions expected through the period as sfc ridge
retreats and southerly return flow sets up across area. Could see
some low stratus/patchy fog develop around edge og the area, but
best probabilities remains south and west of GLD.


.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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