Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 162340

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
440 PM MST Thu Nov 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 215 PM MST Thu Nov 16 2017

Low level moisture return tonight will bring a chance for fog to
eastern areas towards sunrise, mainly impacting the McCook to Hill
City areas. Otherwise, mid and high clouds will gradually
increase per satellite trends showing fairly robust mountain
waves. Friday will be much above normal with downsloping westerly
winds contributing to the warmth. Winds and relative humidity
values fall short of fire weather criteria. Cold front will slide
through Friday afternoon, but precipitation will lag until Friday
night with the upper trough. POPs have increased as measurable
precipitation looks like a good bet, but amounts will be light.
Still expecting rain to change to or mix with snow from west to
east as colder air filters in behind the front and column
saturates. Might see a light dusting north of the interstate and
in eastern Colorado, but most will melt with warm ground
temperatures. Breezy northwest winds will continue through the

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 215 PM MST Thu Nov 16 2017

Upper ridge will rebuild over the weekend. Saturday will be cool
and breezy behind the cold front, but temperatures will rebound to
near normal on Sunday. Next week, a more amplified upper pattern
will develop with a ridge building sharply northward over the full
extent of the Rockies. A series of weak shortwave troughs will
top the ridge and come down the High Plains, each accompanied by
weak cold fronts/slight cool downs. Moisture will be sparse and
not expecting any precipitation with these systems.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 438 PM MST Thu Nov 16 2017

VFR conditions expected for the TAFs. Winds will gradually turn to
the northwest through the TAF ahead of the cold front that will
move through Friday evening. After 10z fog may impact KMCK. The
thicker fog should be east of the site.




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