Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 091750
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1050 AM MST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 225 AM MST Sat Dec 9 2017

Today-tonight...little if any cloudiness expected with the caveat
being possibly some cirrus clouds per 300mb relative humidity if the
models can be believed. Otherwise am expecting northwest winds
across the western 1/2 to 1/3 of the area to increase into the 15 to
25 mph range with higher gusts today with lesser winds across the
east. Winds quickly decrease below 10 mph by sunset then increase
into the 10 to 20 mph range with some gusts by mid evening and
continue overnight. High temperatures in the low to upper 50s. Low
temperatures in the upper teens to around 30 and could be tricky
given the expected increase in west-northwest winds. If enough
mixing develops with the winds lows should be milder then currently
expected.

Sunday-Sunday night...little if any cloudiness during the day with
some mid and high clouds moving in from the north during the night.
850mb temperatures warm about 3F to 10F across the area supporting
highs in the low to possibly mid 60s. Low temperatures in the low
20s to low 30s.

Monday-Monday night...some cooler air backs into the area during the
day with 850mb temperatures dropping about 7F to 10F across the
area. This would support highs in the low to mid 50s. Low
temperatures in the upper teens to low 20s. Northwest winds increase
into the 20 to 25 mph range with higher gusts by late morning and
continue through mid to late afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 241 AM MST Sat Dec 9 2017

Throughout the long term period, uneventful weather is expected. A
shortwave on Wednesday will help bring another blast of cooler
air to the area with winds across the Tri-State area 20 to 25 mph
with higher gusts. Additionally, our max temps will drop to the
low to mid 50s through Thursday. Lows will sit in the mid to upper
20s for the entire extended period.

By Thursday, models are still inconsistent on the timing of an
upper level feature moving south of Canada. As for now, by Friday,
expecting zonal flow to set up across the area briefly, before
another system moves through to the west of our area over
Boulder`s area into Pueblos. Very slight chance of precipitation
for Saturday, just barely clipping our southeastern CWA. &&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 225 AM MST Sat Dec 9 2017

For KGLD and KMCK, vfr conditions through the period. For KGLD
northwest winds today should gust near 30kts while at KMCK
northwest winds look to be around 13kts with a few higher gusts.
For tonight west to west-northwest winds in the 10 to 15 kt range
for both terminals. Little if any cloudiness expected.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1048 AM MST Sat Dec 9 2017

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period at KGLD and
KMCK terminals. Gusty northwest winds will continue with
northwest flow persisting. Strongest gusts will be at KGLD this
afternoon, where windy will gust around 25 kt. Winds decrease this
evening below 10kt and shift to the west, increasing slightly at
KMCK after 08Z as gradient begins to increase.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Red Flag Warning until 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ this afternoon for
     KSZ001-013-027-041.

CO...Red Flag Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for COZ252>254.

NE...Red Flag Warning until 5 PM MST this afternoon for NEZ079.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...EV
AVIATION...DR



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