Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 242055
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
155 PM MST TUE FEB 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 PM MST TUE FEB 24 2015

MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. WEST-
SOUTHWEST WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TONIGHT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST BY SUNRISE OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO AS A SFC TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH. FROM MID MORNING TO LATE AFTERNOON NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
ARCTIC COLD FRONT.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE A BIT AFTER 15Z FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST AS SOME PRETTY GOOD MOISTURE IN THE 850-500MB LAYER MOVES
THROUGH BEHIND THE TROUGH. SHOULD INITIALLY BE SOME LIGHT SNOW AT
THE BEGINNING BUT AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE LOW TO UPPER 40S
EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER (MID 30S TO AROUND 40 IN FAR EASTERN
COLORADO) LIGHT RAIN SHOULD BE THE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE.

LOWS TONIGHT MID TEENS SOUTH TO LOW 20S NORTH.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 PM MST TUE FEB 24 2015

A COUPLE OF WEAK DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW
AROUND THE MAIN GREAT LAKES TROUGH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR LIGHT
SNOW THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN EASTERN
COLORADO WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH AMOUNTS QUICKLY DIMINISHING EASTWARD IN KANSAS AND
NEBRASKA. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST OVER THE
WEEKEND...AS A SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM BEGINS TO SHEAR OUT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES SENDING A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
ACROSS THE AREA...EACH ACCOMPANIED BY A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. NONE
OF THEM LOOK PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE...BUT TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OVER THE ENTIRE LONG TERM PERIOD OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 WHILE 1 TO 3 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE...LOWEST IN SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
ENTIRE PERIOD. WIND CHILL READINGS FRIDAY MORNING COULD APPROACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 15 BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1000 AM MST TUE FEB 24 2015

KGLD...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH
20Z BEFORE FALLING BELOW 12KTS AFTER 21Z. WINDS BACK TO THE WEST
5-10KTS FROM 01Z-07Z THEN BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AT SIMILAR SPEEDS
FROM 08Z-12Z. AFTER 13Z WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 12KTS VEER TO
THE NORTHWEST AT 15G23KTS BY 15Z AS A SFC TROUGH MOVES THROUGH.
MAY SEE A FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS BY 21Z WITH A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS MOVING DOWN FROM THE NORTH BY 01Z. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES AFTER 15Z LOWERING CIGS BUT REMAINING VFR. MAY SEE A
RAIN SHOWER NEAR OR OVER THE TERMINAL AT THE VERY END OF THE
PERIOD BUT RIGHT NOW THE ISOLATED NATURE PREVENTS AN INCLUSION
INTO THE TAF.

KMCK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 12KTS FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH 19Z BEFORE FALLING UNDER
12KTS BY 20Z. WEST WIND 5-10KTS EXPECTED AROUND 00Z LOOKS TO VEER
TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 12KTS BY 16Z AS A SFC TROUGH APPROACHES
THE TERMINAL. MAY SEE A FEW FAIR WEATHER CU AND CIRRUS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SIMILAR TO KGLD MAY SEE A RAIN SHOWER NEAR OR OVER THE
TERMINAL BUT RIGHT NOW THE ISOLATED NATURE PREVENTS IN INCLUSION
INTO THE TAF.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...99


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