Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 152335

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
535 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 227 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Across the region this afternoon...skies are sunny with temps
currently ranging in the upper 50s thru the mid 60s...w/ WNW

For tonight on thru Monday...clear skies expected for the period.
With surface ridge traversing the area overnight...expecting a
wind shift from the WNW to the SSW between 06z-12z Monday
allowing for WAA to begin to work into the area. Temps tonight
are expected to cooler fairly quickly at sunset...but with warmer
windshift expected...overnight lows will not drop as far as last
night. Still looking for overnight lows mainly in the mid 30s.

Going into Monday...H5/H7 ridging over the western portion of the
country thru the day will create NW downslope flow. This combined
with SSW surface winds ahead of a lee-side trough over the Front
Range...will give locales above normal highs in the mid to upper

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 227 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the extended period...H5/H7 ridging across the western
portion of the country will transition to zonal flow aloft as the
week progresses. By the end of the week... models shift an upper
trough slowly from the west coast and into the Rockies going into
Friday night/Saturday morning.

Preceding the arrival of the upper trough into the Plains region
over the first half of the weekend...a surface front sets up over
the area. The two systems will enhance shower potential thru
Saturday night over the CWA before exiting. Next
Sunday...clearing arrives during the day allowing for dry
conditions to ensue once again.

For temps...expecting above normal highs thru Saturday from the
mid 70s to near 80F. Colder air behind exiting weekend system
will bring Sunday`s highs to near normal in the mid 60s.
Overnight lows will range mainly in the 40s...with 30s returning
next weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 530 PM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

VFR conditions with light west to southwest winds and clear skies
will continue through much of the TAF period at MCK and GLD.
Southwest winds will increase to above 12kts between 17Z-23Z
Monday afternoon as the surface high pressure area moves out of
the region and a lee surface trough begins to deepen along the
front range.




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