Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KCLE 261727
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1227 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA WILL MOVE TO THE CAROLINA
COAST...THEN MOVE UP THE EAST COAST LATE TODAY AND TUESDAY
DEEPENING INTO A NOREASTER. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE WEST THROUGH TUESDAY. THE NEXT CLIPPER ARRIVES BY THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE INVERTED TROF OVER ERN OH AND WRN PA WAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST AS
WAS THE BAND OF SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL SHOULD BE AN INCH OR
LESS. ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW A FEW FLURRIES COULD OCCUR.
OVER NORTHWEST OHIO PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. THE FORECAST HIGHS
LOOK REASONABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE NEXT SHORT WAVE WILL DROP INTO THE TROUGH TONIGHT WITH
ANOTHER ON TUESDAY. PATCHY HIGH AND MID CLOUDS WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. SOME LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES WILL LINGER ACROSS NE
OH/NW PA. WE SHOULD SEE THE REMAINING CLOUDS DISSIPATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD
OF THE NEXT CLIPPER.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW GUIDANCE ALL PERIODS. USED A COMBINATION
OF THE RAW MODEL SURFACE THERMAL FIELDS AND INTUITION TO TRY GUESS
THE BEST TEMPERATURES GIVEN THE ARCTIC AIR MASS AND THE FRESH
SNOW COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ANOTHER LOW EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE AREA THU INTO THU NIGHT FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP. TEMPS ON THE BUBBLE FOR SNOW OR RAIN BUT
COLDER AIR MOVING IN THU NIGHT SHOULD CHANGE ALL PRECIP TO SNOW.
MOISTURE SOMEWHAT LIMITED SO SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD NOT BE VERY
HEAVY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ON FRI SO THINGS SHOULD DRY OUT EXCEPT
FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT SHSN IN THE SNOWBELT.

ON THE WEEKEND...YET ANOTHER LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION BUT THIS TIME
IT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ARCTIC AIR. THERE IS TIMING DIFFERENCES BY
THE MODELS ON THE SPEED OF THE LOW AND WHEN THE ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES
SO WILL USE SOME AVERAGING IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BACK EDGE OF SNOW HAS STALLED AS COASTAL LOW OFF CAROLINA COAST
BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE
EXTREME EAST OVERNIGHT...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATIONS.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OHIO AND NWRN PA
TUESDAY AND THEN AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NE WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY INTO TONIGHT
WHILE BECOMING NORTH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND CHANGEABLE THRU THU
THEN PICK UP OUT OF THE NW THU NIGHT TO ABOUT 10 TO 20 KNOTS AS A
LOW MOVES EAST OF THE LAKE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA
SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...ADAMS
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...ADAMS





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.