Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 160403
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1103 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 918 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

Slight adjustments to lows made over SE NoDak...a deg or two
cooler based on current trends. Potential still exists for fog
with radiational cooling...however with N to NE flow before bcmg
calm or lgt and variable will hold off on mention. Expect any
toward morning to be patchy in nature, likely over NE to N Cntrl
MN.

UPDATE Issued at 638 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

No changes to forecast at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

Temperatures and fog potential tonight main issues. Surface high
pressure to build into the fa tonight. With cu field diminishing
and light winds could see some patchy fog development overnight as
temperatures drop off into the 50s with a close t-td depression.
Nam only guidance dropping vsby low enough to mention so for now
will hold off on fog mention.

As surface high shifts east tomorrow respectable warm advection
and increasing s-se surface flow should allow temperatures to
recover closer to seasonal averages in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

An upper ridge will reside over the area on Sunday night and Monday
to start the period. Surface low pressure will track across the
state Monday and Monday night...and some showers/storms can be
expected as the system crosses the area. High temperatures on Monday
will be on the warmer side...with values in the far south possibly
reaching into the mid 90s.

Behind the system...the upper pattern becomes more zonal and the
mean jet position looks to be on top of the region. Model consensus
shows a few waves propagating through the flow...and the instability
will bring sporadic chances for precipitation through the remainder
of the period. Otherwise...temperatures should turn a bit more
seasonable...with highs in the 80s and lows in the low 60s through
the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1102 PM CDT Sat Jul 15 2017

VFR...potential for some BR/FG vcnty TVF and BJI tomorrow morning
but should be a brief period and patchy. Winds will switch more SE
tomorrow.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Speicher
SHORT TERM...Voelker
LONG TERM...Hopkins
AVIATION...Speicher



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