Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 010444

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1144 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

Issued at 1142 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

Based on temps at 04z lowered temps a few degrees in many areas as
some colder spots will drop to around 40. cloud band still hanging
around and drifting south but some shrinking in size. It should
continue drifting south a bit and continue to shrink.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

Impacts will be minimal with limited concerns. 12Z model guidance
all in good agreement and will use a blend for details. High
pressure will be propagating across the region through the period.
Clouds and winds will dissipate this evening with loss of solar
and approaching high pressure. This will lead to ideal radiational
cooling conditions tonight with min temps likely in the mid 40s.
Next shift will need to monitor for fog potential...although short
nights should limit this potential. On Friday...light winds and
weak mixing...but full solar should expect Max Temps in the low-
mid 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

Friday Night-Sunday...The influence of high pressure will
dominate for Saturday corresponding with only light south to
southeast winds and temps that will rebound to near average values
in the mid 70s to near 80 degrees. On Sunday an upper short wave
ridge will only slowly break down and allow a surface low over
Montana to make slow progress to the east. As it does so however,
a tightening gradient will boost wind speeds toward 15 kts,
especially along and east of the Red River valley.

Monday-Thursday...Long wave upper level trough over the Canadian
west will be in place during extended period next week as the
northern plains ridge flattens, yielding a zonal flow regime.

This will favor periodic chances for thunderstorms, reflected in the
the gridded forecasts with chc pops through the whole time frame.
Temperatures will be fairly steady and near seasonal averages with
highs in the low to mid eighties.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

VFR thru the pd. VFR stratocu deck dropped into Fargo but should
clear out by 10z or so. Otherwise skies clear at TAF sites. Cannot
rule out some ground fog here and there but confidence is very
low.  Light winds thru Friday.


.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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