Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN

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000
FXUS63 KIND 221755
AFDIND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
155 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

.UPDATE...THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM...AND SHORT TERM SECTIONS HAVE
BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 155 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO AROUND AVERAGE VALUES FOR LATE
SEPTEMBER BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM.../REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 155 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

FEW TO SCATTERED CUMULUS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISSIPATE AFTER LOSS OF
HEATING THIS EVENING. EXPECT CLOUDS ACROSS WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN TO
BREAK UP SOME AND MOVE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...SO WILL
GO WITH A MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHT.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD SO EXPECT
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. MOS REPRESENTS THIS WELL SO STAYED CLOSE.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 155 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

FOCUS IS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODELS ARE SIMILAR SO WILL
USE A BLEND.

WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN CONTROL AND PROVIDING A DRY EASTERLY
FLOW FOR MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM...SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER MAV
LOOKS TO WARM THINGS UP TOO QUICK GIVEN THE EASTERLY COMPONENT TO
THE FLOW. WILL TREND CLOSER TO THE MET MOS/MODEL BLEND THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 204 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

CONTINUED QUIET AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE
LONG TERM PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL ACROSS THE
REGION. SOME SUGGESTION THAT A WAVE COULD LIFT FROM THE SOUTH LATE
IN THE PERIOD...BUT MODELS HAVE NUDGED THIS FEATURE TO THE EAST
RESULTING IN LESS LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.
WAS ABLE TO GO DRY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

850 TEMPS AND THICKNESSES SUGGEST SLIGHT WARMING DURING THE
PERIOD...WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE 50S...OR ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 221800Z/...

ISSUED AT 1238 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS TAF PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT PLAINS WILL BUILD ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY DURING THE PERIOD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND TIME HEIGHTS
REMAIN DRY AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS REMAIN UNREACHABLE. A BIT MORE
MOIST FLOW OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN MAY RESULT IN A FEW CU NEAR
LAF...DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LAKE. ANY CU WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AS
WE APPROACH SUNSET AND HEATING IS LOST.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM...NIELD
AVIATION...JP

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