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000
FXUS64 KTSA 042328
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
528 PM CST TUE MAR 4 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
INCREASING HIGH CLOUD WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION WITH CEILINGS
EVENTUALLY LOWERING TO LOW VFR ACROSS NE OK TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS AGAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 322 PM CST TUE MAR 4 2014/

DISCUSSION...

UPPER WAVE MOVING OVER THE ROCKIES TONIGHT DROPPING
SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY. CHANCE PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON..GENERALLY..WEST HIGHWAY 75 IN EASTERN OK.
BEST CHANCE  PRECIP  WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SE OK
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  LOW RISK RAIN/SNOW MIX OR LIGHT
SNOW NORTHWEST OF I44.  AMOUNTS IF ANY...NEGLIGIBLE.

WARMING FRIDAY TO ABOUT NORMAL LEVELS IN ADVANCE OF
AN UPPER WAVE THAT WILL BRING A FAIR CHANCE OF RAIN
FOR THE WEEKEND. LIMITED MOISTURE WILL DO LITTLE TO
DENT OUR  PRECIPITATION DEFICIT.  ECMWF PROGRESSIVE
WITH UPPER WAVE WHILE GFS ATTEMPTS TO CUT IT OFF IN
OUR VICINITY SUNDAY. FORECAST WILL CONTAIN MARGINAL
POPS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.  WAVE TRAIN CONTINUES
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.   ECMWF WAVE TRAIN FASTER THAN
GFS TRAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   19  38  24  43 /   0  10  30   0
FSM   17  38  27  44 /   0  10  20  10
MLC   21  43  27  46 /   0  10  40   0
BVO   16  37  19  42 /   0  20  40   0
FYV   11  40  19  42 /   0  10  10  10
BYV   14  39  20  40 /   0  10  10  10
MKO   19  38  25  43 /   0  10  30   0
MIO   17  38  21  41 /   0  10  20   0
F10   22  40  25  46 /   0  10  40   0
HHW   24  45  30  48 /   0  10  50   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07