Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 132344
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
544 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR/IFR ceilings are expected to continue to spread across
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas this evening and remain
common overnight. Some periods of light drizzle...MVFR
visibilities and LIFR ceilings maybe possible late tonight into
Wednesday morning across Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas. During the day Wednesday...IFR/MVFR conditions look to
remain over Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas with breezy
southerly winds. Across Northeast Oklahoma...VFR conditions look
to possibly return late morning/early Wednesday afternoon...though
remaining mostly cloudy with breezy southerly winds.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 316 PM CST Tue Feb 13 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A warming trend has begun across eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas. Even with a fair amount of cloud cover
across the region Today, temperatures are warmer than the
highs from yesterday. The warming trend is expected to continue
through Thursday before a cold front moves through the area.

There will be a chance of showers and even a thunderstorm or two
Tonight across eastern portions of the forecast area as moisture
surges north into the area. Patchy fog and drizzle will also be
possible late Tonight and into early Wednesday Morning.

The next chance of showers will be Thursday and continue into
Saturday as a cold front moves through eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas Thursday night. Southwesterly flow aloft
persists until Saturday when the upper flow becomes more westerly
in the wake of a shortwave embedded within the flow.

After a brief dry period Saturday night into Sunday, the chances
of rain return late in the weekend and into early next week as the
southwesterly flow aloft returns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   43  69  59  75 /  10  10  10  20
FSM   41  65  55  72 /  20  10  10  10
MLC   42  67  59  73 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   40  69  55  75 /  10   0  10  20
FYV   44  62  57  69 /  30  10  10  20
BYV   44  64  56  70 /  30  20  10  20
MKO   41  67  56  73 /  20  10  10  20
MIO   42  63  55  74 /  20   0  10  20
F10   42  70  58  74 /  10   0  10  20
HHW   39  62  57  72 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....20



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