Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 011541
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1041 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Forecast looks on track and no update is planned at this time.
Temperatures running within a degree or two of yesterday`s values
at this same time so similar high temperatures are definitely
reasonable. A modest increase in cloud cover, especially in the
southeast and into west central Arkansas is expected later this
afternoon as the upper low in southeast Texas continues its slow
approach. A larger effect is likely to be felt tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Other than transient high cloud...P6SM SKC through the entire
TAF forecast period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
An upper ridge will dominate the weather across eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas at least through the Labor Day weekend. A
persistent weakness underneath the ridge may result in isolated
diurnal convection over the higher terrain areas of southeast
Oklahoma and western Arkansas the next few days but daily coverage
will likely remain below 10 percent. As a result will not mention
in the zones.

Persistence will rule for temperatures the next few days...with
perhaps a slight upward tick in temperatures as we head into the
weekend. The next chance of rain looks arrive just beyond the
range of this forecast as a weak frontal boundary approaches from
the north. This front looks less impressive with each passing day
so it appears possible that summer like temperatures will persist
at least well into next week.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days as they
are very near persistence.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22



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