Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 262320
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
620 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...UPDATE...

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
COLD FRONT IS ROUGHLY ALONG INTERSTATE 40...WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLEAT KMLC AND KFSM THROUGH ABOUT 02-03Z.
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS LIKELY THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH IMPROVEMENT AFTER 15Z
SATURDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY NEAR THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR WITH THE
STRONGER CONVECTION DISPLACED EVEN FURTHER SOUTHWARD FROM FAR
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. STRONG INSTABILITY AND
WEAK SHEAR DEFINE THE PREFRONTAL ENVIRONMENT W/ POTENTIAL FOR
POCKETS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID
EVENING...WITH THE PASSING COLD FRONT MARKING THE END OF THE
POTENTIAL.

DRY AND MILD EARLY SUMMER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH THE PATTERN ALOFT DOMINATED BY A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WEST /
TROUGH EAST PLACING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE PLAINS.
THE RESULT WILL BE SEVERAL WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGES OCCURRING OVER
THE UPCOMING WEEK...AND ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THE
CURRENT TIMING INCREASES PRECIP CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN
LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN BY LATE FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  86  66  89 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   69  86  66  89 /  70   0   0   0
MLC   69  84  64  87 /  70   0   0   0
BVO   65  85  62  89 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   64  81  59  84 /  50   0   0   0
BYV   64  81  60  83 /  50   0   0  10
MKO   67  84  64  87 /  30   0   0   0
MIO   65  84  63  87 /  10   0   0  10
F10   68  84  65  88 /  30   0   0   0
HHW   71  86  66  88 /  70   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18


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