Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 212335
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
635 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Few to scattered mid and high clouds will remain possible across
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas through the TAF period.
Some few/scattered MVFR ceilings could possibly develop again
Friday morning across the CWA though should lift back to VFR by
early afternoon. Also during the day Friday...breezy southerly
winds should again be possible over the CWA.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 359 PM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid weather will continue through Monday,
although both temperatures and dewpoints will be backing off a
bit over the next couple days. The GFS and ECMWF begin to diverge
next week, and will follow closer to the more consistent ECMWF
for this forecast. A cold front is still due to move across the
area Tuesday, and the western U.S. trof will be lifting northeast
into the plains around this same time. The combination of these
two systems will increase rain chances during the early to middle
part of next week, and temperatures will fall to more seasonal
levels following the passage of the cold front.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   75  91  72  91 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   72  92  70  92 /   0  10   0  10
MLC   73  90  70  90 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   71  92  68  92 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   67  87  64  87 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   70  88  68  88 /   0  10   0  10
MKO   72  91  70  91 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   71  90  69  90 /   0   0   0   0
F10   73  90  70  90 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   72  90  70  90 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20



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