Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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448
FXUS64 KTSA 271127
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
627 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

   - Hot and humid conditions will continue for the next week with
     heat indices of 95-102 F across the area.

   - Daily isolated to scattered showers and storms expected much
     of the next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today with the
greatest coverage of storms likely to be during the late afternoon
hours. Organized severe weather is not expected, but an isolated
strong to severe storm will be possible late this afternoon into
the early evening. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the
upper 80s to lower 90s, with heat index values nearing the century
mark in some places.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

With the lack of a strong upper ridge over the area, daily shower
and thunderstorm chances will likely persist through much of the
upcoming week. A weak frontal boundary will sag into the area
early next week, and may enhance storm chances for a couple days.
Overall, temperatures will not vary much, and will remain near the
seasonal averages through next week. Afternoon heat index values
from 95 to 102 degrees will also be common each afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for most of the period
across all terminals. The exception will be any thunderstorms
that impact the area. Widely scattered storm development will be
possible this morning, but chances appear too low at this point to
mention for any one location. Better chances arrive during the
afternoon hours. Otherwise, scattered cloud cover and generally
light winds will prevail.

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   91  74  90  75 /  40  30  30  20
FSM   93  74  90  73 /  50  30  50  20
MLC   91  73  91  75 /  50  40  30  20
BVO   91  71  90  72 /  40  30  30  30
FYV   90  70  87  70 /  50  30  60  20
BYV   89  71  85  70 /  50  30  70  20
MKO   90  73  89  73 /  60  30  40  20
MIO   88  71  88  72 /  50  30  50  30
F10   90  72  90  72 /  60  30  30  20
HHW   91  72  90  72 /  30  20  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...04