


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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448 FXUS64 KTSA 271127 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 627 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 - Hot and humid conditions will continue for the next week with heat indices of 95-102 F across the area. - Daily isolated to scattered showers and storms expected much of the next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today) Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today with the greatest coverage of storms likely to be during the late afternoon hours. Organized severe weather is not expected, but an isolated strong to severe storm will be possible late this afternoon into the early evening. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s, with heat index values nearing the century mark in some places. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 334 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 With the lack of a strong upper ridge over the area, daily shower and thunderstorm chances will likely persist through much of the upcoming week. A weak frontal boundary will sag into the area early next week, and may enhance storm chances for a couple days. Overall, temperatures will not vary much, and will remain near the seasonal averages through next week. Afternoon heat index values from 95 to 102 degrees will also be common each afternoon. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail for most of the period across all terminals. The exception will be any thunderstorms that impact the area. Widely scattered storm development will be possible this morning, but chances appear too low at this point to mention for any one location. Better chances arrive during the afternoon hours. Otherwise, scattered cloud cover and generally light winds will prevail. Bowlan && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 91 74 90 75 / 40 30 30 20 FSM 93 74 90 73 / 50 30 50 20 MLC 91 73 91 75 / 50 40 30 20 BVO 91 71 90 72 / 40 30 30 30 FYV 90 70 87 70 / 50 30 60 20 BYV 89 71 85 70 / 50 30 70 20 MKO 90 73 89 73 / 60 30 40 20 MIO 88 71 88 72 / 50 30 50 30 F10 90 72 90 72 / 60 30 30 20 HHW 91 72 90 72 / 30 20 20 20 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...04