Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 192053
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...AS
FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL THEN PERSIST INTO THE EVENING...BEFORE
TURNING TO MOSTLY CLEAR. WITH LIGHT WINDS...CLEARING SKIES...AND A
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...AREAS OF SHALLOW FOG WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT
AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD
QUICKLY CLEAR BY MID MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WARMING TEMPERATURES. WHILE
CHANCES ARE SLIM...THE WARMER WEATHER COULD ALSO TRIGGER AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ENTER THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY...AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO REMAIN ALONG AND
BEHIND THE FRONT...INDICATING A MAINLY STRATIFORM RAIN EVENT.
BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH...BRINGING IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE NEXT WEEK. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN SHIFT NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THIS
SYSTEM COULD BRING LIMITED PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE NATION...DIRECTING THE JET
STREAM NORTHWARD NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  89  70  88 /  10  20  30  20
FSM   67  88  68  89 /  10  20  30  20
MLC   68  88  67  89 /  10  20  30  20
BVO   64  89  66  86 /  10  20  30  20
FYV   63  85  64  84 /  10  20  30  20
BYV   63  84  66  83 /  10  20  30  20
MKO   67  88  69  88 /  10  20  30  20
MIO   65  87  67  84 /  10  20  30  20
F10   68  87  69  88 /  10  20  30  20
HHW   69  89  68  90 /  10  20  30  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....16





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