Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 151652

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1052 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Issued at 802 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Update to forecast to remove Freeze Warning based on current
obs/trend. No other changes at this time.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The forecast area will be under the influence of northwest flow
aloft through Tuesday with little in the way of cloudiness and
slowly moderating temperatures. For Tuesday night flow shifts a bit
more westerly which may bring a slight increase in high clouds over
the area.

High temperatures today should reach the low to mid 60s with low to
mid 70s Monday. On Tuesday the warming continues with highs in the
mid 70s to around 80. Low temperatures tonight in the low to mid 30s
with mid 30s to low 40s Monday night. For Tuesday night low to
mid 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The extended forecast continues to look dry and warm. Temperatures
will be 5-10 degrees above normal through most of the period. Global
models are in good agreement until the weekend. Both the GFS and
ECMWF have a longwave trough approaching the area Friday night into
Saturday. The ECMWF is a little quicker than the GFS with this
feature, but the CWA should see an associated cold front at the
surface push through the area and bring temperatures back down
closer to normal values through Saturday night. Very little moisture
will be available to this system.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1052 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Conditions...VFR w/ SKC.

Precip/Wx....None expected.

Winds........For KGLD...NW around 10kts thru 00z Monday then
light/variable. By 06z Monday...SW around 10kts. For KMCK...NW
around 10kts thru 00z Monday then light/variable. By 12z
Monday...SW around 10kts.




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