Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 212343

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
443 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 105 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

A cooler area of surface high pressure moves through the area
tonight with a lee trough quickly redeveloping along the front
range. This lee trough transitions across the region by Wednesday
evening. Amplified north northwesterly flow aloft late this
afternoon through tonight precedes the strong upper ridge that
moves over the Rockies on Wednesday.

With the surface high moving out of the region, temperatures will
be warmer on Wednesday with the warmest readings over the western
sections of the forecast area. Highs near 70 are possible
following overnight lows from the lower 20s to around 30. Dry
conditions will persist with no precipitation expected under
mostly clear skies.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 130 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

Amplified ridge centered over the Rockies will dominate through
the weekend. No precipitation is expected. There will be a frontal
passage on Friday associated with a shortwave trough riding down
the ridge into the plains. It will potentially bring a period of
gusty north winds. Models differ on the timing of the front, which
may impact temperatures as well as when the stronger winds will
occur. Temperatures will only cool down slightly on Saturday
behind the front, quickly rebounding on Sunday to above normal as
the ridge rebuilds. Ridge axis will get shunted eastward early
next week as a stronger shortwave trough enters the northern
Rockies. It will bring cooler temperatures by Tuesday, but still
near normal for this time of year.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 437 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

Throughout the remainder of the TAF period, VFR conditions will
prevail at the McCook and Goodland terminals. Wind directions will
shift quickly throughout the next 24 hours.




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