Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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130
FXUS63 KGLD 280819
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
219 AM MDT THU APR 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM MDT WED APR 27 2016

UPPER LOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD WESTERN IOWA TONIGHT. CLOUDS INCREASE
MID TO LATE EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
WESTERN ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. WINDS GENERALLY FROM THE
NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO UPPER 30S
(WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA).

FOR THURSDAY THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALMOST DUE EAST INTO
SOUTHERN UTAH AND NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. CLOUDINESS SLOWLY LIFTS
NORTHEAST AS FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST. MAY SEE A FEW
SHOWERS ALONG THE NE/KS BORDER BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OTHERWISE A
DRY FORECAST EXPECTED. SFC WINDS SLOWLY VEER TO THE NORTH THEN
NORTHEAST AND EAST THROUGH THE DAY AROUND 10 MPH EXCEPT ACROSS THE
FAR WEST AND SOUTH WHERE SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH EXPECTED. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 50S TO AROUND 60.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 AM MDT THU APR 28 2016

A SHORTWAVE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY
WITH CHC POPS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING AS THE NEXT AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. DURING THE DAY...PTYPES WILL
BE ALL RAIN TO BEGIN HOWEVER SNOW WILL MIX OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY AS
TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S DURING THE EARLY
MORNING MAINLY IN EASTERN COLORADO AND THE NORTHWEST KANSAS COUNTIES
JUST EAST OF THE KANSAS COLORADO BORDER. THE SNOW OR RAIN SNOW MIX
WILL RETREAT AND CHANGE BACK OVER TO ALL RAIN AFTER SUNRISE ON
MONDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY
WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS THE LOW
WEAKENS AND MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE FILLS IN WEST OF
THE CWA ON TUESDAY AND CURRENT GUIDANCE HAS IT LINGERING THROUGH
THURSDAY WHEN IT WILL BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE CWA. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1043 PM MDT WED APR 27 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST 18 HOURS OF THE
TAF PERIOD AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK TERMINALS. THERE COULD BE
LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE TAF
PERIOD WITH BETTER CHANCES AT KMCK AFTER 22Z WITH A WEAK
DISTURBANCE SHOWN JUST TO THE NORTH. LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS
WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATER WHEN THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE SW TO THE NORTHEAST POSSIBLY
IMPACTING BOTH KGLD AND KMCK (THURSDAY EVENING). BEST CHANCE FOR
MVFR CIGS BASED ON CURRENT TIMING IS AT KGLD AFTER 03-04Z WITH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADING TOWARDS KMCK OUTSIDE THE 06Z TAF
PERIOD.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...DR



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