000
FXUS63 KGLD 261121
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
421 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TUESDAY
BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
EXPECTING AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S BOTH DAYS. SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHERN COLORADO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
BRINING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS. EVEN
BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE 60S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOWER LEVELS REMAIN BONE DRY AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

THURSDAY...CLOUDINESS INCREASES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SHORTWAVE
RIDGING OVER THE AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S TO
AROUND 50 WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

FRIDAY...LOTS OF CLOUDINESS DURING THE DAY BEFORE DECREASING
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST AS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES THROUGH. MAY SEE SOME LIGHT
SNOW SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE  FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE WARMING TEMPS
CHANGE ANYTHING OVER TO LIGHT RAIN. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS RAIN
POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE THEN SNOW AS
TEMPERATURES FALL TOWARD FREEZING. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S WITH LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

SATURDAY...DECREASING CLOUDINESS WITH FORECAST AREA IN BETWEEN
UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND ANOTHER OFF THE
CALIFORNIA/MEXICO COAST. LITTLE AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF/GFS
REGARDING CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES SO NO CHANGES MADE TO EXTENDED
FORECAST PROCEDURE. HIGHS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW 40S
WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 20S.

SUNDAY...LITTLE AGREEMENT BETWEEN LONG RANGE MODELS WHICH MAKE FOR
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. ECMWF SHOWING 850MB TEMPERATURES OF -5C
TO -12C WHILE THE GFS SHOWING +11C TO +13C. NO CHANGES MADE TO
CURRENT FORECAST AND WILL GO WITH UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S FOR HIGHS
AND AROUND 30 FOR LOWS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 419 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

VFR EXPECTED AT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25KTS BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX TO THE SURFACE...DIMINISHING
BY LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...024