


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
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800 FXUS63 KGLD 131638 AFDGLD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1038 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Warmer temperatures in the 90s and generally dry conditions are forecast through Monday. - Daily chances for showers and storms begin Tuesday during the afternoon to evening hours. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 238 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025 For today and tonight, clear to mostly clear skies are forecast across the region as an upper ridge noses into the area from the west. There could be a few patches of fog this morning as dewpoint depressions remain around a few degrees or less, but south. Southwesterly winds should help keep things mixed enough for most of the area to stay clear. Temperatures are forecast to be warmer today in the upper 80s and lower 90s with the clear skies and some warm air advection from the southwest. Winds are forecast to remain around 10 mph or less as the upper ridge is forecast to weaken the flow aloft while the lack of features keeps the area in a broad pressure gradient. Lows tonight are forecast to cool back into the lower 60s with a few upper 50s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 237 PM MDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Moving into next week, the upper level ridge moves further across the Great Plains while lee surface troughs develop along the Front Range to High Plains region. Moisture will try to advect into the Tri-State area from Mexico and the Gulf beginning Monday evening, bringing some weak 20% chances for showers or storms along the Front Range into Northeast Colorado. Confidence is low currently for any storms to make it into the forecast area. The active pattern continues through much of next week with daily chances for showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours through the weekend. With the ridge pattern remaining dominant and limited potential for forcing, confidence is low to moderate. Should severe storms develop, all modes can be possible with flash flooding a possibility for those who get multiple rounds of rain. High temperatures will be in the 90s Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday will be slightly cooler with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Thursday and Friday could have highs in the 80s both days before warming into the low 90s. Overnight lows each night will fluctuate around the 50s to mid 60s. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1029 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025 VFR conditions are currently forecast for each terminal. Winds are forecast to become SSE through the afternoon as a boundary sags into the area. Along this boundary am forecasting a cumulus field to develop around 20Z along with a 5-10% chance of isolated to widely scattered showers and storms through 02Z. Confidence is low in the storms developing due to the lack of forcing and the limited spatial nature of any convection precludes me from introducing into the TAF. If this starts to look more probable of occurring over then an AMD will be warranted. A more southerly wind component is forecast to occur overnight along with some wind gusts up to 20 knots at KGLD as a weak LLJ develops. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...KAK LONG TERM...KMK AVIATION...Trigg