Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 231008

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
308 AM MST Tue Jan 23 2018

Issued at 628 PM MST Mon Jan 22 2018

A few locations have already dropped to near the low temperature
forecast. So adjusted the mins down a few degrees.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 153 PM MST Mon Jan 22 2018

The storm system that brought blizzard conditions to the central
high plains region yesterday through this morning is spinning out
across the central plains states this afternoon.  Mostly clear skies
and an extensive snowpack will be left behind tonight through
Tuesday.  Gusty northwest winds are expected to become light
overnight.  So with light winds, clear skies, and fresh snow, have
tended to go towards the lower side of guidance and temperatures a
couple of degrees lower overnight tonight than what was produced by
the CONSShort guidance. Have also lowered the high temperatures
expected on Tuesday over much of the area. Across the far southern
portion of the forecast area where snow amounts are lower with a
degree of melting that has taken place today under sunny skies,
expect temperatures near or even slightly warmer than guidance
across that portion of the forecast area. However, the challenge
will be balancing the less significant snow cover across the south
and the full sun during the day with the northwest fetch of near
surface winds that will be blowing across the snowpack and likely
bringing temperatures down a few degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 307 AM MST Tue Jan 23 2018

Friday, a trough will be moving over the area with some weak
ridging returning over the weekend. Depending on how fast the
snow melts over the next couple of days will play a huge role in
the extended forecast temperatures.

Friday onward, expecting to see a gradual warming over the area.
Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s and lows in the lower 20s for
the start of next week as a warmer air mass moves into the area on


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 945 PM MST Mon Jan 22 2018

Vfr conditions are expected through the period. For Kgld, west
winds near 12 knots are expected until late tomorrow morning. At
18z those winds will shift to the northwest and increase to near
14 knots with gusts to near 21 knots. Late in afternoon those will
decrease to near 6 knots and then around 03z shift to the west at
the same speed.

For Kmck, through 18z on Tuesday west winds of near 8 knots are
expected. At 18z those winds will shift to the northwest and
increase to near 11 knots. Near 01z those winds will shift to the
west at near 6 knots.




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