Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 310529
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1129 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING AS THE
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT AFFECTED THE AREA THIS MORNING CONTINUES
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH NORTHEAST
EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S.

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE DRY OUT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH A GENERAL WESTERLY COMPONENT. THERE COULD BE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS TOMORROW ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 70S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO TO MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS
THE KS/NE LINE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPIN AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO BE FOUND ABOVE THE CWA. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TO THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
LOWS LOOK TO START OUT RANGING FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS EASTERN
COLORADO TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNINGS THEN REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS WEEKEND.

THE WEATHER PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE SHAPE BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES UP AND OVER THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE LEE
TROUGHING INTENSIFIES AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. HIGHS THROUGH THIS PERIOD CONTINUE TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 80S WEST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EAST WITH LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT KGLD AND KMCK
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSIDENCE
CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY FOG
AT KMCK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  THE FORECAST SOUNDING FOR KMCK
POINT OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRATUS BUT HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL
PROBABLY KEEP THE DEWPOINT DEPRESION LARGE ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE
POSSIBLITY.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAH
LONG TERM...WAH
AVIATION...FS





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