Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 031832
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1232 PM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLOWLY INCREASE FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE (PER 700-
500MB RH CURRENTLY PRODUCING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLORADO
ROCKIES) MOVES NORTHEAST ONTO THE FRONT RANGE AND ADJACENT PLAINS
AROUND 00Z THEN ALONG/NORTH OF THE CO/NE BORDER BY MIDNIGHT. AFTER
MIDNIGHT DRIER AIR MOVES IN BRINGING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES. FOR FRIDAY ANOTHER BATCH OF MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHWEST 1/3 OF THE AREA BY 18Z THEN NORTH ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR
EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA BY THE END OF THE DAY. INSTABILITY IS VERY
LIMITED BUT CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY.

LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 FOR FAR EASTERN
COLORADO...UPPER 50S TO LOW 70S ELSEWHERE...COOLEST ALONG THE CO/KS
BORDER WITH MILDEST READINGS AROUND HILL CITY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S WEST...MID TO
UPPER 90S EAST OF THE CO/KS BORDER.


.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 AM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD MODELS SHOW A COLD
FRONT... ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES... MOVING THROUGH THE TRI STATE AREA ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR TO THE REGION ON MONDAY... WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY DUE TO THE POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE AND
EMBEDDED WEAK DISTURBANCES.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING
MID WEEK. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 70S ON WEDNESDAY.
THURSDAY... AFTER THE FRONT HAS PASS... LOOK FOR SUNNY CONDITIONS
AND ANOTHER WARMING TREND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

FOR KGLD AND KMCK...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT
BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ALBEIT LOW IS AROUND
23Z-06Z FOR KGLD AND 04Z-08Z FOR KMCK. WINDS AT KGLD MAY GUST OVER
20KTS IN THE 21Z-01Z TIMEFRAME OTHERWISE FOR BOTH TERMINALS
DIRECTION SHOULD BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST-SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS UNDER
11KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...BW
AVIATION...99


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