Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 130007
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
607 PM MDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 202 PM MDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Main concern will be temperatures through tomorrow. Disorganized
surface trough/low positions across our area is creating a highly
variable wind and temperature field. Possible that this could be a
weak cold front. The main cold front that is not too far north of
our area will push through the area tonight.

There are mixed signals but it does look like a narrow band of
stratus will follow the front. Because of the frontal timing and the
variable nature of the cloud cover, low temperatures will be highly
variable and tough to nail down. Went with a consensus approach for
the mins.

Light upslope to light and variable winds will be in place tomorrow
as the surface ridge moves through. There will also be some
lingering cloud cover. Depending on the location, the cold air
advection and cloud cover will lower the high temperatures 10 to 20
degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 158 PM MDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Friday night and Saturday: A cold front and associated theta-e
boundary will approach the region Friday night and Saturday. Rain
chances will increase mainly for the easternmost portions of the CWA
early Saturday morning. The front will push very quickly through the
CWA with sharp post frontal pressure rises allowing winds to
substantially increase through the afternoon. Winds at the 850 to
700 millibar level will approach 50 knots and with strong subsidence
in place, I expect gusts approaching the 40 to 50 mph threshold
Saturday afternoon, especially in the northwestern portions of the
CWA. These winds should taper off relatively quickly through the
evening.

Sunday through Thursday: Sunday will be dry and cooler in the
post frontal air mass with highs reaching the upper 50s to low
60s. Dry weather and near seasonal average temperatures will
prevail Monday through Thursday with highs generally in the upper
60s to lower 70s and lows in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 536 PM MDT Thu Oct 12 2017

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period at MCK and
GLD with light and variable winds and mostly clear skies.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BULLER
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...LOCKHART



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