Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FXUS63 KJKL 030657
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
257 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

NO PATTERN CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL MEAN A
CONTINUATION OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A MEAGER CHANCE OF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR STORMS TODAY
AND AGAIN FRIDAY. HOWEVER...AS FAR AS TODAY GOES...HI RES MODELS
ARE INDICATING THAT WE MAY BE IN A HOLE WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTION
TODAY...KEEPING EVERYTHING FARTHER EAST. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A
WAVE IN THE FLOW TO OUR NORTHEAST...BUT REALLY SHOULD CLIP OUR
AREA. THUS...WILL DOWNPLAY PRECIPITATION CHANCES TODAY...JUST
GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER IN THE FAR EAST/SOUTHEAST.
BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL COME IN ON FRIDAY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...BUT CHANCES WILL PROBABLY BE HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON LOCAL BOUNDARIES AND PREVIOUS CONVECTION. THUS...WILL
GO WITH A GENERAL SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA. WILL KEEP HIGHS FAIRLY
CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAVE SEEN LATELY IN THE UPPER 80S TODAY AND
FRIDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 60S TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 257 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

LONG TERM DISCUSSION TO FOLLOW SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 153 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

ANOTHER TYPICAL EASTERN KENTUCKY NIGHT WITH MORE VALLEY FOG
DEVELOPING AS WE SPEAK. SOME OF THIS FOG WILL IMPACT TAF SITES
OVERNIGHT. GIVEN SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO LAST NIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS ABOUT WHERE THEY WERE LAST NIGHT AT THIS
TIME...OPTED TO BRING VISIBILITIES DOWN SIMILAR TO WHAT WE SAW
LAST NIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A MIX OF MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES
THROUGH DAYBREAK...WITH PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW CIGS.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE...WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING BY MID MORNING. SOME SCATTERED CU WILL
DEVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY VFR
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...SHALLENBERGER
AVIATION...KAS


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