Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FXUS63 KJKL 240756
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
256 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

WRAPPED UP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS NOW PUSHED OFF TO THE NORTH INTO
THE GREAT LAKES. A TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTH ACROSS ILLINOIS
INTO ARKANSAS. PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS VERY STRONG ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING ALLOWING FOR GUSTY WINDS. AS THE FRONT TO THE WEST
CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...THESE WINDS SHOULD ONLY INCREASE AND
THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT. OUTSIDE OF ADJUSTING
THE GUSTS UP SLIGHTLY...MADE VERY FEW CHANGES TO THE WINDS. A WEAK
WAVE WILL CROSS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AS THE
FRONT PUSHES EAST TODAY. HOWEVER...BETTER MOISTURE AND FORCING WITH
THIS FEATURE WILL REMAIN JUST TO OUR NORTH. WITH A GLANCING
BLOW...AND BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING ONLY SHALLOW
MOISTURE...CANNOT IMAGINE WE WILL SEE ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW
SPRINKLES. THUS...HAVE BACKED OFF POPS TODAY. AFTER A MILD
START...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA.

WHILE SOME MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SOME CLOUD COVER BEHIND THE
FRONT...IT APPEARS BETTER MOISTURE WILL STAY JUST OFF TO OUR
NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
DEVELOPING TONIGHT. FLOW NEVER BECOMES NORTHWEST ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
MOISTURE HANGING ON INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN...SO IT LOOKS LIKE LESS
CLOUD COVER IS THE WAY TO GO. WITH SURFACE RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE
AREA...THE CLEAR SKIES COULD ALLOW FOR WINDS TO GO FAIRLY LIGHT IN
THE SHELTERED VALLEYS...ALLOW FOR LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. RIDGING WILL
HOLD THROUGH TUESDAY...PROVIDING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...BUT A COOLER
DAY WITH HIGHS INTO THE 40S.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

LONG TERM DISCUSSION TO FOLLOW SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 146 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

SOME MVFR CIGS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...BUT SHOULD
LIFT BACK TO VFR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK MONDAY. PRECIPITATION IS
COMING TO AN END...WITH NOT MUCH MORE THAN A SPRINKLE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. CIGS WILL EVENTUALLY BREAK UP BY LATE IN THE
DAY. THE MAIN AVIATION IMPACT WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
COULD REACH 40 KNOTS IN SOME PLACES. WHILE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH SOME
INTO MONDAY EVENING...THEY COULD REMAIN GUSTY IN SOME
PLACES...THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...GEOGERIAN
AVIATION...KAS





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