Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FXUS63 KJKL 280803
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

STUBBORN LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO HANG ON THIS MORNING. FINALLY
STARTING TO SEE SOME SIGNS OF THEM BREAKING UP ACROSS CENTRAL
KENTUCKY. BASED ON THE TRENDS...WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE THE
CLEARING WORK EAST THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...RIGHT ON THE HEELS OF THIS
CLOUD COVER IS MORE CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT PUSHING
INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. WHILE THESE CLOUDS ARE MORE MID
LEVEL...THEY SHOULD STILL ACT TO KEEP SKIES OVERCAST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA.
BASED ON TIMING THE BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS...IT LOOKS LIKE WE WON`T
CLEAR BACK OUT AGAIN FOR MOST AREAS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
THUS...HAVE TRENDED COOLER WITH HIGHS TODAY. THE SOUTHWEST MAY SEE
THE LONGEST PERIOD OF SUNSHINE AND MORE LIKELY TO SEE READINGS INTO
THE LOWER 40S DOWN THAT WAY. OTHERWISE...LOOKING LIKE WE MAY SEE
ANOTHER DAY WITH TEMPERATURES STUCK IN THE 30S FOR MOST AREAS. AS THE
WARM FRONT EXITS NORTHEAST TONIGHT...SKIES SHOULD CLEAR BACK OUT.
HOWEVER...DESPITE THE WARM FRONT...SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL LAG
SIGNIFICANTLY...WHICH WILL SET UP A GOOD RIDGE VALLEY SPLIT TONIGHT.
VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 20 TONIGHT...WITH RIDGES
STAYING CLOSER TO 30. CERTAINLY WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A
LARGER SPLIT THAN THIS AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE...POSSIBLY KEEPING
RIDGES MILDER. BY SATURDAY...LOOKS LIKE SOME CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT IN THE WAKE OF THE WARM
FRONT REALLY RAMPS UP. THE BEST CLOUD COVER WILL BE BACK TOWARDS THE
NORTHWEST. MODELS MAY BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE CLOUD COVER
INITIALLY...AS MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE A BIT SLOWER THAN
ADVERTISED. SHOULD BE A MILDER DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 303 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

LONG TERM DISCUSSION TO FOLLOW SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 117 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

MVFR CIGS WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO EAST
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE SOME BRIEF CLEARING COULD OCCUR ACROSS
CENTRAL KENTUCKY...MID/HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT WILL
CROSS INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY PREVENT MUCH CLEARING
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY...BUT SHOULD STILL ALLOW CONDITIONS
TO GO BACK TO VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...KAS





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