Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 261950

National Weather Service Jackson KY
350 PM EDT Wed Oct 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 350 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

Available shortly...

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 350 PM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

A upper level wave will be exiting to the east on Friday, as a
surface high progresses east into the region. In the wake of this
wave strong upper level ridging will build into the region. At the
surface high pressure will build into the Carolinas and warm air
advection will kick in on the backside. This ridging remains in
place until we move toward Sunday, as a northern stream shortwave
briefly suppresses the ridge. Then ridging quickly builds east
with strong heights building all the way into the Great Lakes.
Another northern stream wave will pass into the Upper Midwest and
Great Lakes by Monday night. A cold front will also progress east,
but will become weak by the time it makes it east.

Impacts for the period will be the above normal temps and dry
weather for most of the period. The upper level wave on Sunday
afternoon could bring a slight chance of a showers in the far
east. However would be hesitant to go much more than slight given
the dry antecedent conditions, lack of jet support, and lack of
multiple model support. Before this ahead of this wave on Saturday
will be a gusty day wind wise and could be something that needs to
be watched fire weather wise. Otherwise the period will be met
with well above normal temps, as we see highs in the mid 70s to
even around 80 for most of the period. This will put several days
especially Saturday and Tuesday into near to record highs. Matter
of fact the record high for the month of November is only 82
degrees at Jackson and London and these could also be in jeopardy.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)

VFR conditions will be experienced through the period. Southwest
winds of between 5 and 10 knots will continue into early evening.
Look for high and mid level clouds to begin to thicken late in
the period. Some low level wind shear may develop ahead of an
approaching cold front late this evening as winds die off at the
TAF sites have included that in the TAFs. For Thursday, a mostly
dry cold front will pass through with winds picking up to near 15
kts by early afternoon along with gusts to 20-25 kts. Do not
foresee cigs below VFR during this or any real impact from




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