Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 260725
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
325 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 324 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2017

A dry air mass is in place locally under a large scale eastern
CONUS trough. A shortwave trough moving through the larger scale
flow will approach tonight and move through on Tuesday. Models are
indicating mid/upper level saturation with this system. The
main question is whether we will see just virga, or if rain will
make it to the ground. Nothing more than 20-30% POP appears
justified at this point.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 324 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2017

The extended looks to start off warm and dry, as a ridge of high
pressure remains in place across the region Tuesday night through
Thursday morning. After that, a series of upper level weather
systems and surface fronts will move across the eastern third of the
CONUS. These systems will bring periods of showers and storms to
eastern Kentucky to end the week and into the upcoming weekend. The
latest model guidance is suggesting that the highest probabilities
of showers and storm will occur Friday through Saturday, as a
southeastward moving cold front interacts with a northward surge of
warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures during the
extended look to be around normal for the time of year, with daily
highs in the 80s and nightly lows in the 60s expected.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
ISSUED AT 142 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2017

Outside of a bit of early morning valley fog (not at TAF sites),
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Winds should be
10kts or less from the west or northwest.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...HAL



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