Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 050543
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1143 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
ONE FINAL BAND OF SNOW FROM WEATHER SYSTEM FROM SE OK INTO NW
AR WILL AFFECT NW AR TAF SITES KXNA KFYV KROG KFSM FOR COUPLE
MORE HOURS UNTIL 09Z.  VFR ALL STATIONS AFTER 09Z THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 819 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
NARROW BAND OF MODERATE SNOW ONGOING ACROSS SW/CENTRAL OK MARKS
THE BACK EDGE OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...AND PER REPORTS A
ROUND OF AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE AS IT PROGRESSES
EASTWARD. THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO BE
ERODED BY THE ADVANCING DRY LOW LEVELS...HOWEVER UPDATED FORECAST
WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE EVENING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM INTERSTATE
40 SOUTHWARD INTO SE OK. LATEST DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A QUICK
TRANSITION TOWARD MUCH LIGHTER PRECIP AMOUNTS ACROSS SE OK AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   16  35  19  47 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   21  35  20  45 /  90  10   0   0
MLC   20  35  19  45 /  90  10   0   0
BVO   13  34  16  48 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   15  30  14  42 /  80   0   0   0
BYV   14  29  13  42 /  80   0   0   0
MKO   18  35  19  46 /  70   0   0   0
MIO   14  31  17  44 /  10   0   0   0
F10   17  35  20  45 /  50   0   0   0
HHW   23  38  21  44 / 100  10  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM THURSDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ075-OKZ076.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY FOR OKZ065-
     OKZ066-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074.

AR...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM THURSDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-
     ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....18
AVIATION...21




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