Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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698
ACUS11 KWNS 251922
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251922
FLZ000-252115-
Mesoscale Discussion 0953
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0222 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...easter portions of the Florida Peninsula
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 251922Z - 252115Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A couple of strong wind gusts or an instance of large hail
may accompany the stronger storms, particularly those that can
remain near sea-breeze boundaries. The severe threat should remain
isolated and a WW issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Multiple pulse-cellular thunderstorms have developed
due to localized convergence along sea-breeze boundaries over the
past few hours. Along the sea-breeze boundary, locally stronger
deep-layer shear exists (per 19Z mesoanalysis). As such, any storm
that can anchor to the sea-breeze for a longer period of time will
be capable of becoming transient supercellular, perhaps accompanied
with the risk of strong wind gusts or an instances or two of hail.
Nonetheless, the localized and brief nature of the severe threat
along the sea-breeze boundary precludes a WW issuance.
..Squitieri/Bunting.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28208086 27768034 26628002 25998012 25878050 26228090
27058107 27598117 27848123 28208086