Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 262059
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262041
OHZ000-MIZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-262245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0788
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI/WRN AND CENTRAL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 220...221...

VALID 262041Z - 262245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
220...221...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A MARGINAL
HAILSTONE OR TWO CONTINUES AHEAD OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND
EXTENDING FROM WRN LOWER MI SSEWD TO WRN OH.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A BROKEN BAND OF STRONG/LOCALLY
SEVERE STORMS CROSSING WRN LOWER MI/FAR NERN INDIANA/WRN OHIO
ATTM...WITH A FEW VIGOROUS/ISOLATED CELLS OCCURRING E OF THIS BAND
-- PARTICULARLY OVER WRN AND CENTRAL OH.  WHILE WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE LIMITING OVERALL INSTABILITY...500 TO 1000 J/KG
MIXED-LAYER CAPE AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT OCCASIONAL STRONGER/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS -- AIDED BY AMPLY
STRONG FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THIS REGION.  WHILE DOWNSTREAM WW EXTENDING
FARTHER EWD INTO OH IS NOT IMMINENT...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED -- PARTICULARLY WITHIN THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE AS IT
APPROACHES ERN FRINGES OF WW 220.

..GOSS.. 05/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON   44968570 45268367 43268231 41888306 40588248 39668226
            38768279 38618389 38688486 41208456 42208565 43848657
            44968570



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